Romney will lose Cuyahoga but it will be by less than 150,000 votes. He’ll pick up the suburban counties and the Rust Belt and carry the state. After all, he’s a lock in next door IN, KY and WVA all of which border OH. When these states go Red, look for OH to follow suit.
I mean, there are multiple counties in KY that gave Bobo single-digit percentages in the 2008 primaries. In 2012, 42% of Democratic voters checked off “uncommitted” on their ballot.
It's all ground game, and ground game is money. IF CO, IA, NH, NH are all reliably, consistently internally +3 in the clear, then yeah, go after PA. But WI would be smarter. PA is more a resource game -- if Bobo is broke and -$15M to BoA, then make them go deeper.