Absolutely. Black people aren't stupid. They have had more than their share of black politicians acting all smooth and then becoming complete failures once elected. This doesn't automatically mean that they will vote Republican. But it does mean that many of them will stay home on election day.
The church I am a member of is predominately black. Many of those I have talked to this election actually are pro-Romney. I would say probably 40% or so have acknowledged that Romney is the only choice. Four years ago, that wasn't the case.
That's my point. Blacks will not be voting for Romney, but many will not vote this time around.
"In 2004, John Kerry won 88 percent of the black vote, which made up 11 percent of the total electorate. In 2008, Obama won 95 percent of the black vote, which made up about 13 percent of the electorate. That means Obama’s increase in support relative to Kerry won him about 3.5 million extra votes, or nearly 40 percent of his total margin over John McCain.
This was a truly amazing feat, considering what we know about people’s voting habits. In particular, political scientists for generations have found that voting is highly correlated with socioeconomic status. About 61 percent of the white voting age population turned out to vote in 2004, compared to only 50 percent of the black voting age population.
But enthusiasm for Obama in 2008 among African Americans basically erased this underlying tendency: whites turned out at 62 percent; African Americans turned out at 60 percent."