New ARG Poll in Nevada shows Obama 49%, Romney 47% (last ARG Nevada poll showed Obama +7)

American Research Group ^ | October 23, 2012 | American Research Group

[Arec Barrwin]

Nevada

Interview dates: October 19-22, 2012

Sample size: 600 likely voters

Margin of error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time

Question wording and responses:

If the general election were being held today between Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats, and Mitt Romney for president and Paul Ryan for vice president, the Republicans, for whom would you vote - Obama and Biden or Romney and Ryan (names rotated), or someone else?

Nevada

Obama Romney Other Undecided Likely voters 49% 47% 1% 3% Democrats (43%) 88% 8% - 4% Republicans (37%) 4% 94% - 2% Independents (20%) 50% 44% 3% 3% Men (49%) 48% 49% 1% 2% Women (51%) 51% 45% - 4% 18 to 49 (57%) 51% 46% 1% 2% 50 and older (43%) 47% 48% - 5% White (70%) 42% 54% 1% 3% African American (9%) 95% 3% - 2% Early/absentee (9%) 57% 43% - - Election day (91%) 49% 47% 1% 3% Sep 20-23 51% 44% 1% 4%

[TomEwall]

“Romney’s strategy last night strongly indicates his internal polling shows he’s up in swing states like NV. He behaved like a basketball team up 14 points with 3 minutes to play in the 4th quarter.”

I thought the same thing. Obama’s strategy suggested the same thing.

[spokeshave]

Off topic but just wanted to know if Toledo Ohio was a Democrat stronghold. CNN just gave early voting stats and it is VERY much in favor of the Democrats, by many thousands.

View this U-Tube video by a local commentator in Toledo that explains how Romney will win

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EApYNuBwEvE&feature=watch_response

[Irish Eyes]

Thanks spokeshave, I have seen this video and loved it. I did not remember that this was Toledo Ohio.

:)

[stilloftyhenight]

Vegas is SEIU territory, and they controlled the voting machines when Harry majically won.

Talked to my friend there over the weekend and she said that Obama is scheduled to be there Wednesday (today) and that would certainly cost him some votes because he snarls traffic and all the major roads are cut off during rush hour. LOL

[Repub4bush]

We are trying! We have many on the ground doing door to door GOTV! This weekend we had GOP women's groups from Ca. 350 of them bused in by mormons to GOTV! IT was amazing! WE are on the phones from 8am until 9pm daily to GOTV! If we loose this state it is SEIU!!! We are all committed to win!

For the Mormon haters, I am a Baptist! I have seen Romney/Ryan 3 times now and Both are awesome! They give us hope! Mitt is now what you think he is! I have met him, and he is a very nice man!

WE voted today after the rally! Had lunch at the Elephant Bar, which was apropos!

[stilloftyhenight]

Great news!