To: nwrep
OH polls from Friday ranged from Romney +21 with indies to Obama +9. Rasmussen has it almost even I believe ? The question is whether indies are moving to Obama or not ? Are they making an effort to report as independents in the polls? If they are trending to O the only thing I can think of is the Mourdock and Akin comments being heavily exploited by the O campaign and having an effect. Hope I’m wrong.
To: Bigjimslade
The question is whether indies are moving to Obama or not ?
The Indies are trending to Obama at a rate that Rasmussen shows Romney leading Indies today by 23, and by 15 in the Swing State Tracker.
Only 1, of the last 20, Ohio polls (TIME) showed Obama leading indies (Rasmussen's was essentially a tie).
You have mentioned Akin and Murdock on a couple of threads. Obama has lost Indies since the Murdock story broke (Akin is old news and is actually about caught up to Air Claire). Look at the trends in Rasmussen, ABC/WaPo and Gallup from the beginning of the week. Obama's approval today is 5 points underwater. It was +8 earlier in the week.
32 posted on
10/27/2012 4:01:54 PM PDT by
nhwingut
(Single Issue Voter: Obama Must Go!)
To: Bigjimslade
Where are you seeing a poll that shows Obama up by nine points among independents?
To: Bigjimslade
Where are you seeing a poll that shows Obama up by nine points among independents?
To: Bigjimslade
IIRC, the CNN Ohio poll is the only one with indies for Obama and the poll in general is weird.
Should get a better handle on things by next Wednesday or so. The last few days can also be interesting.
92 posted on
10/27/2012 7:57:11 PM PDT by
rwfromkansas
("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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