[Hawthorn]

I think 538 is whistling past the graveyard. Click below for some analyses and facts that run directly contrary to Silver’s argument:

http://washingtonexaminer.com/ohio-shocker-gop-closes-early-voting-gap-boosting-romney/article/2509838

[nwrep]

Yes, I have read that, and it is very encouraging. It is a bit difficult to correlate that with polling data to date, but great news nevertheless.