Posted on 10/28/2012 1:31:13 PM PDT by Arthurio
October 28, 2012 | 3:03 p.m.
The race to 270 electoral votes remains extremely tight, according to new battleground-state polls released on Sunday that underscore that Mitt Romney has made inroads in wresting away President Obama's advantage in the Electoral College.
The race is now deadlocked in Ohio, the state most likely to sit at the tipping point of the Electoral College, according to a poll from the Ohio Newspaper Association, a consortium of in-state newspapers. A new Washington Post poll of likely voters in Virginia gives Obama a narrow edge in a state he flipped to the Democratic column in 2008, some good news from the president. But a poll from the Star Tribune of Minneapolis shows a neck-and-neck race in the emerging battleground of Minnesota, where both campaigns recently purchased television advertising time, according to media reports.
Taken together, these polls, along with national surveys, show a race that could tip to either candidate in the final week of the campaign. Romney has succeeded in expanding the map to include states like Minnesota, but the electoral math still dictates that more traditional battlegrounds like Florida, Ohio and Virginia are likely to pick the next president. The polls also show a significant gender gap in excess of 20 points in each of the three states, with Romney leading among male voters and Obama ahead among females.
(Excerpt) Read more at nationaljournal.com ...
This says the Romney camp bought advertising in Minnesota. I wonder if they have done the same in Pennsylvania and Michigan? If they’ve got excess cash on hand that they can’t effectively spend in Ohio (and a few others), then why not?
I can’t believe its close in any state..
Virginia is all Romney. The WAPO rag poll was something like +8 D sample.
Since VA is in the midst of the storm, Romeny will turn his attention for the first part of the week to OH, WI, MI, IA PA and maybe now, MN.
So he has about three to four days to campaign like hell in those states. Then go to the east and take a look at the storm damage. Maybe do a little helping here and there.
Go from east to west, and then back and end up in VA and the coast.
This will be the narrative/meme all week long.
Despite Obama down in the two major independent polls by 3-4 (for 2 straight weeks), and the challenger at 50% and the incumbent at 46-47%, Obama can still win via the electoral college.
Ignore the fact that it only happened twice in history (1888 and 2000) and both times were with a less than 1% national vote difference - not 4-5% diff.
They cannot give up hope. This is their last remaining narrative.
Yeah, that Wash Post poll oversampled democrats by 8...but I guess the fake journalist at NJ couldn't bother doing a little digging.
Karl Rove was on the radio the other day...he said the buy in Minnesota was likely aimed at a narrow strip of Wisconsin that gets their news and tv from the Minneapolis market....
It did happen in 1876 with a 3% difference.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_1876
Such a different time though. Also funny how all the winners of the popular vote but loser of the EC were Democrats.Never has a Republican won the popular vote but lost the EC.
it almost happened in 1916. Wilson won 49-46 in popular vote. Had 500 votes changed hands in California, Wilson would have lost the electoral college... but this was back in the Solid South era when the Democrat candidate got about 90% of the vote there.
It was a “close” race back in 1980 too. That’s what the lib media was reporting. It was so close that Reagan won 44 States and the Peanut Man won 6.
That was called the 1877 Compromise. Look it up. Tiden/Hayes both declared about four states the winners. There was massive fraud and corruption. And in the end there was a deal worked out, called the aforementioned.
That is an asterisk.
It has never happened.
To clarify, 1876 was never settled who won the EC. It was basically a compromise.
I am talking about a case where one candidate clearly won the EC and the other candidate won the popular vote. It happened twice (1888 and 2000). And even 2000 was a protracted battle with FL and the Supreme Court.
There is no possible way that Romney wins by 3-4-5 and loses the EC.
I’m with you I don’t think so either.
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