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New Michigan Poll : 0 47.7%, R 45%
Detroit News | 10_30

Posted on 10/30/2012 8:17:28 PM PDT by Arthurio

New Michigan Poll : 0 47.7%, R 45%


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: Michigan
KEYWORDS:
Blocked site. Link: http://www.detroitnews.com/article/20121030/POLITICS01/210300442/Poll-Romney-closes-gap-Obama-Michigan?odyssey=tab%7Ctopnews%7Ctext%7CFRONTPAGE
1 posted on 10/30/2012 8:17:28 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: Arthurio

http://www.detroitnews.com/article/20121030/POLITICS01/210300442/Poll-Romney-closes-gap-Obama-Michigan?odyssey=tab%7Ctopnews%7Ctext%7CFRONTPAGE


2 posted on 10/30/2012 8:18:48 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: Arthurio

Zero at 47% across the country


3 posted on 10/30/2012 8:21:54 PM PDT by ez (When you're a hammer, everything looks like a nail.)
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To: Arthurio; SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; nutmeg; SoFloFreeper; ...

Poll ping.


4 posted on 10/30/2012 8:23:28 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
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To: Arthurio

Economy, foreign affairs, and understanding voter values. Neither Romney nor Obama received 50% in any one category. The state is a mess.


5 posted on 10/30/2012 8:24:02 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: Arthurio

Wow! It’s gonna be a ground game and the union thugs will muscle their crowd to the polls. RR needs to have a counter strategy.


6 posted on 10/30/2012 8:24:15 PM PDT by Steelfish (ui)
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To: Arthurio

MI is in play... and O is sitting at the familiar 47%? It doesn’t look good!

He should be having a double-digit lead there!


7 posted on 10/30/2012 8:27:34 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: CatOwner

It does appear a tough nut to crack but tantalizing.


8 posted on 10/30/2012 8:27:53 PM PDT by Ravi
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To: CatOwner

Bad news for the Kenyan. He won that state in 2008 by 16 points.
He’ll be lucky if he wins it at all this time around.


9 posted on 10/30/2012 8:30:04 PM PDT by 1035rep
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To: Jet Jaguar; Arthurio
600 "likely voters" (undefined); 80% landline, 20% cell.

No internals nor crosstabs, though it says Romney is up 6% among men, down 11% among women, and has a "narrow" lead among independents.

Cheers!

10 posted on 10/30/2012 8:30:05 PM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: Ravi

If Obama campaign was caught napping, their Detroit turnout machine may not be ready. No big black turnout in Detroit, he loses.


11 posted on 10/30/2012 8:30:24 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: Steelfish

It is still a secret ballet regardless the union pressure.


12 posted on 10/30/2012 8:31:34 PM PDT by doc1019
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To: Arthurio

I move MI from “Strongly Leans Obama” to “Tossup”.


13 posted on 10/30/2012 8:32:11 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Arthurio

Considering that most undecided voters ultimately vote for the challenger, this poll actually has Romney in the lead in Michigan.


14 posted on 10/30/2012 8:32:34 PM PDT by Repeal 16-17 (Let me know when the Shooting starts.)
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To: ez

Hired Rick! Now let’s hire Mitt and Paul!!


15 posted on 10/30/2012 8:33:20 PM PDT by epluribus_2
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Comment #16 Removed by Moderator

To: goldstategop

47.7 to 45 - with 6.3% undecided. Those are ominous numbers for an incumbent, and Romney leads Obama on the “who’s better on economy” question.


17 posted on 10/30/2012 8:37:16 PM PDT by PhatHead
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To: Arthurio

I don’t know if Romney will ultimately win Michigan, but if it is this close, I feel really good about the chances of him winning the battlegrounds needed.


18 posted on 10/30/2012 8:39:01 PM PDT by The Conservative Goddess
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To: Steelfish

It’s certainly true about the frightening union muscle being applied, and yet I’m hearing story after story after story of union members telling their friends that they’re sick and tired of the intimidation, and they’re going into the booth, shutting the curtain, and voting Romney. People standing on street corners with Dem signs, chatting with the other signholders and telling them they’re only there because they’re paid to, or will lose their job if they don’t, and that they don’t support a word of the sign they’re forced to hold. I know it’s only anecdotal, but don’t be surprised if you’re pleasantly surprised next week. Whatever the truth is, we have to work our butts off.


19 posted on 10/30/2012 8:47:27 PM PDT by Humble Servant (Work for the most conservative one in the race, and keep up the pressure.)
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To: Steelfish
Wow! It’s gonna be a ground game and the union thugs will muscle their crowd to the polls.

Good! That keeps them out of Wisconsin!!!!

20 posted on 10/30/2012 8:55:26 PM PDT by Mygirlsmom (Zer0 Fiddled While Tyrone Burned. Impeachment NOW! !!)
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To: Arthurio

Internals (D +3.4) can be found at:

http://www.clickondetroit.com/blob/view/-/17202258/data/1/-/15knpck/-/Michigan-survey-results.pdf


21 posted on 10/30/2012 8:58:16 PM PDT by Numbers Guy
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To: Numbers Guy

26. Generally speaking, would you say you tend to vote mostly for Republican candidates, do you vote mostly for Democratic candidates, or would you say that you vote equally for both Republican and Democratic candidates? IF VOTE EQUALLY, ASK: WOULD YOU SAY YOU LEAN MORE TO THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY, MORE TO REPUBLICAN PARTY, WOULD YOU SAY YOU ARE AN INDEPENDENT VOTER?

1. Democratic 36.8% 43.3%
2. Lean Democratic 6.5%
3. Independent 15.7%
4. Lean Republican 12.2%
5. Republican 27.7% 39.9%
6. Other...DO NOT OFFER .5%
7. Don’t Know/ Refused .7%


22 posted on 10/30/2012 9:12:08 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
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To: Arthurio

Some of these states like PA, Mich, MN that missed O’s summer mudslinging onslaught could sneak under the radar, conceivably even if OH goes to Obama. That’s why Romney should start playing big with ads in PA, Mich, MN.


23 posted on 10/30/2012 9:19:49 PM PDT by Hokestuk
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To: Arthurio
If Obama campaign was caught napping, their Detroit turnout machine may not be ready. No big black turnout in Detroit, he loses.

RR should consider running ads in Detroit that highlight O's despicable position on gay marriage. This would help with the working class, and depress black turnout and enthousiasm for The One. Knock black enthusiasm down a notch and win Michigan!

24 posted on 10/30/2012 9:29:42 PM PDT by Hokestuk
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To: Jet Jaguar

Interesting, those numbers seem to indicate about a 50-50 split of true independents/others.

Either way, winning MI is definitely a stretch for Romney.


25 posted on 10/30/2012 10:54:17 PM PDT by NYRepublican72
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To: Hokestuk

I think the mindset of many Black voters in this election is similar to Liberal Jewish voters.

Jewish Liberals have been getting lectured by Jewish Conservatives about how bad Obama has been for Israel. A certain amount of these Jewish Liberals have decided to vote for Romney. But there are plenty of others who are just too loyal to Liberalism to ever pull the trigger for a Republican.

But in the back of their minds, they’re thinking “if Romney wins, no big deal, I’ll deal with it” (especially since they know he’ll be a much better friend to Israel). Keep in mind that Reagan won a decent share of the Jewish vote in ‘80, and an even bigger share in ‘84 after he proved himself to be an excellent steward of the economy.

The difference between Jewish voters and Black voters is that Jewish voters vote in much higher numbers, in proportion to their population size. So while many Jewish Liberals will make the effort to vote for Obama, while not really minding too much if Romney wins, a lot of Black voters who are disillusioned with Obama will just stay home.
If Romney wins, they’ll cry RACISM, but they’ll be secretly relieved because they can sense that their economic situation will improve under Romney.

The same thing happened when Rudy Giuliani became Mayor of New York City, defeating the 1st Black Mayor, David Dinkins. The Blacks didn’t dare praise Rudy, but he made their neighborhoods a lot safer, a lot more livable, and their property values went up.

So it’s like they get to kill two birds with one stone. They can play the race card, and at the same time, improve their economic situation.


26 posted on 10/30/2012 11:13:32 PM PDT by The Fop (Excuse me while I clean the saliva out of my racist dog whistle)
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To: goldstategop; GOPsterinMA; AuH2ORepublican; fieldmarshaldj; Perdogg; MitchellC; BillyBoy

No, he shouldn’t have a double digit lead. He WAY overperformed in MI in 2008. Kerry won it by less than 4 points in 2004. And Glove was born there.


27 posted on 10/31/2012 2:23:19 AM PDT by Impy (Don't call me red.)
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To: doc1019

“It is still a secret ballet regardless the union pressure.”

Here in Iowa a voter can have someone enter the voting booth to help cast the ballot. The only exception to this law is that the person “helping” cannot be the employer of the voter. It can, however, be a union thug monitor.


28 posted on 10/31/2012 6:01:00 AM PDT by Brent Calvert 03969-030
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