Skip to comments.New Michigan Poll : 0 47.7%, R 45%
Posted on 10/30/2012 8:17:28 PM PDT by Arthurio
New Michigan Poll : 0 47.7%, R 45%
Zero at 47% across the country
Economy, foreign affairs, and understanding voter values. Neither Romney nor Obama received 50% in any one category. The state is a mess.
Wow! It’s gonna be a ground game and the union thugs will muscle their crowd to the polls. RR needs to have a counter strategy.
MI is in play... and O is sitting at the familiar 47%? It doesn’t look good!
He should be having a double-digit lead there!
It does appear a tough nut to crack but tantalizing.
Bad news for the Kenyan. He won that state in 2008 by 16 points.
He’ll be lucky if he wins it at all this time around.
No internals nor crosstabs, though it says Romney is up 6% among men, down 11% among women, and has a "narrow" lead among independents.
If Obama campaign was caught napping, their Detroit turnout machine may not be ready. No big black turnout in Detroit, he loses.
It is still a secret ballet regardless the union pressure.
I move MI from “Strongly Leans Obama” to “Tossup”.
Considering that most undecided voters ultimately vote for the challenger, this poll actually has Romney in the lead in Michigan.
Hired Rick! Now let’s hire Mitt and Paul!!
47.7 to 45 - with 6.3% undecided. Those are ominous numbers for an incumbent, and Romney leads Obama on the “who’s better on economy” question.
I don’t know if Romney will ultimately win Michigan, but if it is this close, I feel really good about the chances of him winning the battlegrounds needed.
It’s certainly true about the frightening union muscle being applied, and yet I’m hearing story after story after story of union members telling their friends that they’re sick and tired of the intimidation, and they’re going into the booth, shutting the curtain, and voting Romney. People standing on street corners with Dem signs, chatting with the other signholders and telling them they’re only there because they’re paid to, or will lose their job if they don’t, and that they don’t support a word of the sign they’re forced to hold. I know it’s only anecdotal, but don’t be surprised if you’re pleasantly surprised next week. Whatever the truth is, we have to work our butts off.
Good! That keeps them out of Wisconsin!!!!
Internals (D +3.4) can be found at:
26. Generally speaking, would you say you tend to vote mostly for Republican candidates, do you vote mostly for Democratic candidates, or would you say that you vote equally for both Republican and Democratic candidates? IF VOTE EQUALLY, ASK: WOULD YOU SAY YOU LEAN MORE TO THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY, MORE TO REPUBLICAN PARTY, WOULD YOU SAY YOU ARE AN INDEPENDENT VOTER?
1. Democratic 36.8% 43.3%
2. Lean Democratic 6.5%
3. Independent 15.7%
4. Lean Republican 12.2%
5. Republican 27.7% 39.9%
6. Other...DO NOT OFFER .5%
7. Dont Know/ Refused .7%
Some of these states like PA, Mich, MN that missed O’s summer mudslinging onslaught could sneak under the radar, conceivably even if OH goes to Obama. That’s why Romney should start playing big with ads in PA, Mich, MN.
RR should consider running ads in Detroit that highlight O's despicable position on gay marriage. This would help with the working class, and depress black turnout and enthousiasm for The One. Knock black enthusiasm down a notch and win Michigan!
Interesting, those numbers seem to indicate about a 50-50 split of true independents/others.
Either way, winning MI is definitely a stretch for Romney.
I think the mindset of many Black voters in this election is similar to Liberal Jewish voters.
Jewish Liberals have been getting lectured by Jewish Conservatives about how bad Obama has been for Israel. A certain amount of these Jewish Liberals have decided to vote for Romney. But there are plenty of others who are just too loyal to Liberalism to ever pull the trigger for a Republican.
But in the back of their minds, they’re thinking “if Romney wins, no big deal, I’ll deal with it” (especially since they know he’ll be a much better friend to Israel). Keep in mind that Reagan won a decent share of the Jewish vote in ‘80, and an even bigger share in ‘84 after he proved himself to be an excellent steward of the economy.
The difference between Jewish voters and Black voters is that Jewish voters vote in much higher numbers, in proportion to their population size. So while many Jewish Liberals will make the effort to vote for Obama, while not really minding too much if Romney wins, a lot of Black voters who are disillusioned with Obama will just stay home.
If Romney wins, they’ll cry RACISM, but they’ll be secretly relieved because they can sense that their economic situation will improve under Romney.
The same thing happened when Rudy Giuliani became Mayor of New York City, defeating the 1st Black Mayor, David Dinkins. The Blacks didn’t dare praise Rudy, but he made their neighborhoods a lot safer, a lot more livable, and their property values went up.
So it’s like they get to kill two birds with one stone. They can play the race card, and at the same time, improve their economic situation.
No, he shouldn’t have a double digit lead. He WAY overperformed in MI in 2008. Kerry won it by less than 4 points in 2004. And Glove was born there.
“It is still a secret ballet regardless the union pressure.”
Here in Iowa a voter can have someone enter the voting booth to help cast the ballot. The only exception to this law is that the person “helping” cannot be the employer of the voter. It can, however, be a union thug monitor.