[driftdiver]

Anyone willing to go on MSNBC is automatically suspect.

[arrogantsob]

I will take that bet Senior Silver.

[LibLieSlayer]

Bet him every cent that you have silver and then I will worry... obama will cover any loss old nate the lying shyster loses... and his grand is gone baby... obama is getting an arse whuppin’ and nate cannot stop it.

LLS

[apillar]

Silver is a radical homosexual activist and a liberal New York Times Columnist, anybody that says he is unbiased, independent and doesn't favor Obama over Romney is either lying or terminally naive.

[oblomov]

Let’s see what his baseball models can do with this election.

[ncalburt]

Silver the former Daily Koz employee is a
Fraud .

The day before the Scott recall this Axelrod flunky went around
Spreading the false polling data that Scott was in trouble ,
Stupid CNN took the propaganda along with the other left wing networks and looked like idiots .
Quietly old Nate massaged his model to give himself an margin of error fall back line .
He did the same media scam for the 2010 election when the gop won !
He will do the same in 2012 .
He thinks no one will remember his antics this election cycle too !
Leftist never do .
He is pure Daily Koz slime !

[RatRipper]

If he had been really sure, he would have bet at least 100 G’s.

[notfornothing]

I think he might be following the European betting markets. I've had the presidential race bookmarked on one of the British bookmaking sites and they've had Obama as the heavy favorite for weeks now. Obama was 1/3 (75%) yesterday and this morning he had gone up to (1/4) (80%) - and anyone who's been following the race at all lately knows those numbers are insane.

Here's the kicker - Obama is 4/9 to win the popular vote as well...and Romney's been ahead in the popular vote polls for a while now.

Obviously what's going on is Obama is the sentimental favorite in Europe and the majority of the people there are betting on him to win...and the bookmakers are having to adjust the odds accordingly. You'd have to be a fool to think those odds reflect anything approaching reality though.

[paolop]

He is offering even odds while claiming 4:1 odds (or better). How about betting with HIS odds not the even odds that he is trying to disprove! And then a lot more say 10G?

[xkaydet65]

There’s a good recap of Silver on Red State. The guy is mostly responsible for developing the PECOTA stat system used by Baseball Prospectus and rotisserie nuts like me. He made his bones predicting a 90+ win season for Tampa in 02 and they won 97 after losing 90 in 01. The Red State piece is a good analysis and rebuttal of his current models. Just good analysis without the insults.

[InterceptPoint]

When FR goes down next Tuesday (I take that as a given), checking in on Nate should be very entertaining. Assuming things go as well for Romney as I expect them to.