Egad! I was not aware of this fact, thanks ^^
Posted on 11/02/2012 4:40:55 PM PDT by montag813
As Election Day approaches, we must be very sensitive to last minute changes in the polls. Remember that President George W. Bush fell from a 4 point lead into a tie over the last weekend in 2000 and Clinton rose from a tie to a 5 point win in the last weekend of 1992.
With that caution in mind, a danger signal comes from the latest Rasmussen Poll reflecting a two point gain for Obama. Whereas before the storm, Rasmussen showed Romney two ahead, he now has the race tied at 48-48.
That is troublesome.
And, in Pennsylvania, Romney led on Wednesday night by two points but on Thursday night’s polling, he was tied. We have also seem slippage for Romney in Michigan. More troubling, Rasmussen shows a two point gain for Obama in job approval rising from 48% to 50% in the current poll.
All of these changes are, no doubt, related to hurricane Sandy.
Nobody really knows what the impact of hurricane Sandy will be on the election. Until its waves crashed into the New Jersey shore, the election was well in hand for the Romney campaign.
Coming off strong debate performances in which he debunked Obama’s negative attacks on him, the former Massachusetts governor was doing very well. Obama was reeling, unable to regain his footing, in search of a message, and bedeviled by questions about his increasingly obvious coverup of the Libyan attacks. But after the storm? Who knows? We have never had a storm so close to a national election, much less one as close as this is.
Many a governor or mayor has recovered from political oblivion by actively running around his state seeming to coordinate storm relief. And just as many have fallen apart because of a failure to clean up promptly.
It may be that Obama’s visit to New Jersey and the high profile (figurative) kisses bestowed on him by nominal Republican Mayor Bloomberg of New York and real Republican Chris Christie of New Jersey might have helped him.
Perhaps he is erasing the image of a nit-picking, petulant president deep into negative charges against his opponent and replacing it with the image of an executive handling a tough situation for our country.
This race is not over yet! And with a media determined to re-elect Obama, we may see the president’s recovery continue unless we step up our own efforts to thwart it. We are still likely to win. The undecided vote always goes against the incumbent and all the polling suggests we will be more successful than they will be at turning out our vote. But, early warning signs must be headed.
Bottom line: WORK LIKE HELL!!!
...and the longest fangs of any venomous snake!
Egad! I was not aware of this fact, thanks ^^
...and the longest fangs of any venomous snake!
Sorry for the second post, RE: Christy. What he did was absolutely inexcusable. Given all the security associated with Obamugabe’s entourage, his visit had to impede the efforts to clean up the area, thus Christy should have told him “Thanks for your concern” and left it at that.
I am out the country right now, so thankfully I have not heard, and do not want to hear the “effusive praise” referenced so often. How in name of all that’s holy can Ann Coulter love this guy so much?
I’m not certain on the Ann Coulter situation, but what I saw during that tour was two guys standing around with their hands in their pockets telling each other and us how good of a job they were doing while they were doing absolutely nothing.
If I was president, I would be on the ground with a small security team, no cameras, no reporters, and I would be directing my people to bring all available federal resources, including food, water, temprary shelters, generators, guardsmen medics to me right now.
And if things resources did not arrive that day, heads would roll that day.
But, you have to laugh at those big-eared, Mussolini poses Dear Leader strikes. Every time I see the poseur it makes me laugh.
I really hope to h3ll I don’t have to hear that effete imbecile’s obnoxious voice for much longer.
The incumbent always gets 1-2 points in the last week of the race. That is when the 1/3 of the undecideds that he can expect make up their minds. The rest (2/3) will choose Romney when they are standing over the ballot.
Thanks for the explanation.
I guess this is what some pollsters (Caddell, Schoen) call the "last week incumbent's bump"?
I asked the question because a lot of people like to talk about what “we” need to do, but don’t become a part of we.
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