North Carolina is already in the bag for Romney.
At this time in 2008:
Votes Cast: 2,129,739
Democrats 1,118,192 52.5%
Republicans 630,585 29.61%
Unaffiliateds 379,666 17.83%
As of today:
Votes Cast: 2,257,894
Democrats 1,083,225 47.98% [down 34,967]
Republicans 718,553 31.82% [up 87,968]
Unaffiliateds 451,488 20% [up 71,822]
Final results in NC 2008:
Obama/Biden 2,142,651 49.70%
McCain/Palin 2,128,474 49.38%
Obama won NC by a mere 14,177 votes.
McCain won the election day vote overwhelmingly, and I can’t come up with any reason why Romney won’t do the same (and to a greater degree). Thus, with the Dem turnout down and everybody else up, Obama has already lost here.
THE ONLY REASON that Bill Clinton and Michelle Obama are coming back to NC to campaign is in order to trick their base into getting excited - for the sake of their down ballot races... but not so much here in NC, but nationally. It’s the sort of thing that plays well to the dummies who read the Huffington Post.