Lets see the internals. Probably weighted D+4 or higher. Taken during the height of Obama’s photo op on the hurricane, so not bad.
Romney’s momentum has slowed the last week at least in terms of polling. Whether hurricane or just normal race tightening, we will not know until Wednesday. But at least we are not seeing any major Obama resurgence in these last few days. He still cannot get above 50% in any poll.
Exactly. I want to see their assumptions about the composition of the electorate. It more than likely is weighted towards a big Democrat electorate. People are going to be shocked.
Note, this same group predicts a Romney win by 4-5 points from a couple days ago despite tied polls after weighting for various factors.
Very hard to tell, but appears to be D+3 poll as well, which is good for us if it’s an even election like expected as well as one with higher white turnout.