The question is would Obama have done worse without the auto bailout and attack ads? It seems to me that the answer is yes. In other words, without those ads, he would’ve lost Ohio, minority turnout notwithstanding.
He would've lost the welfare minority vote as well if news of the reduction of their payments by the Fed wasn't suppressed for one week.
Ohioans’ Food Stamp Aid to be Reduced (Monday, November 12, 2012)
Because of the way the federal government calculates utility expenses for people receiving the benefit, a mild winter nationwide last year, and a lower price for natural gas, many families could experience a significant cut in aid, those familiar with the program say.Recipients should get a letter from the state Department of Job and Family Services this month explaining the change, said Ben Johnson, a spokesman for the agency.
Also this story was delayed...
Foodstamps Surge By Most In One Year To New All Time Record, In Delayed Release (Posted on Saturday, November 10, 2012)