Posted on 10/24/2013 9:27:46 PM PDT by Maelstorm
>> The elephant in the room is the libertarian.
Really? Was that true in 2012?
Third parties don't win but can be spoilers.
Big difference between Presidential elections and off-cycle state elections. Turnout will be much lower -- which usually is to the benefit of the Republican candidate.
In the 2011 state senate elections, the GOP had 200,000 more votes for its candidates statewide than did the ‘Rats, even though the GOP had 11 uncontested district victories. The ‘Rat redistricting of the senate allowed them to achieve a 20-20 tie.
Here in northern Virginia, there are maybe 4 or 5 House of Delegates races (out of 35 or so seats in the region) that are competitive The lack of competitive races with local political operations is not going to help Terry McAwful.
They are now even so they had to rush out a push poll to show that mcawful has a slim lead.
Libertarians - we stand for nothing and fall for every thing.
A victory is not impossible—just improbable. We need a large turnout for Ken and a somewhat depressed Dem turnout. The Dems have already built up a lead based on polls of early voting. The Dems are very good at rounding up their voters and getting them to vote prior to election day. No doubt some fraud is also involved.
Not necessarily. Many of these voters would stay home and not vote for Rep or Dem. This idea of third parties drawing votes from the Reps and Dems is overblown. The very fact that there is a third party candidate or even more fringe parties is an indication of people being disaffected from the main parties.
Maybe if the GOP backed up their small government, individual liberty rhetoric with real action instead of supporting the erosion of both of these things then people who value those things wouldn't go shopping for another place to vote. It's not just stoners who are voting Libertarian.
In the House of Delegates races (100 total) there are 16 Dems running unopposed compared to 29 Reps running unopposed. The fact is that the Rep vote could be more depressed than the Dem vote given the number of Reps running unopposed. On a positive note, there is no way the Dems will gain control of the House of Delegates this year.
Yes, Cuccinelli is running hard on his opposition to Obamacare and his role in fighting it at the state level. Ken emphasized that again and again in the debate last night.
Baloney. Why isn't it democratic? We have had Presidents who have been elected with less than 50% of the popular vote. European democracies with parliamentary governments have multiple parties.
More and more Americans are becoming frustrated with our two party system. What we have now is really one party with two wings--Dem and Rep.
BTTT
Ken also needs to tie McAuliffe to Obamacare. I think he did that in the debate or at least said he would keep Obamacare out of VA.
McAwful wants to expand Medicaid under Obamacare.
Sounds to me like the problem isn't with Libertarians. I'm not one and never would be, but this clip seems to indicate that Virginia has its share of establishment Republicans who won't get behind a conservative candidate.
Mostly, and primarily, he wants to steal the election in ‘16 for hillary
all else is facade
What’s the GOP resistance to Cuccinelli? What were his missteps?
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