I pray you're right. It's not just another race, it's another Democrat crook and another notch in the Clinton's gun. We have to stop the corruption somewhere, this would be a good start.
The truth is there are two dynamics going on. Many voters don’t like either of them mainly because McAuliffe has been pouring the worst ads imaginable into the state. Really just flat out lying. I’ve been out door knocking for several weeks now and just today I found a handful of McAuliffe voters. One was a weak McAuliffe voter. An older single lady who I think I swayed the other way because she had been swayed but really didn’t know much about either of the candidates. One lady said she wasn’t going to vote but her son was voting McAuliffe. I had a few regular GOP voters who were a bit weak but the vast majority of those I encountered and talked to were going straight ticket GOP and they were very clear about it. The enthusiasm is clearly on our side.
I have little doubt though that many just aren’t going to vote. I fully expect turnout to be low probably no more than 35-40%. The key is that turnout is high enough in Central VA where I live and Southwest VA which McAuliffe has written off entirely. The Cuccinelli campaign has been ramping up and we have had the NRA and other conservative groups helping by running ads doing this home stretch. I’ve not seen the McAuliffe volunteers out at all in my area unlike in 2012. His strategy has been to bet everything on NOVA which has a lot of votes but leaves him in a very bad place if they turn out the way they did in 2009 which was only 33% to GOP 39%. All the polls showing McAuliffe leading are assuming a larger advantage for McAuliffe than has ever been seen in recent off year elections. The only poll I’ve seen that assumes a more balanced advantage shows Cuccinelli and McAuliffe essentially tied.
We will have some new polls this week I’m sure.