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Twilight of the Aircraft Carrier?
The Diplomat ^ | December 13, 2013 | James R. Holmes

Posted on 12/13/2013 11:57:25 AM PST by sukhoi-30mki

Past fears that carriers were vulnerable to new technologies weren’t proven right… nor were they proven wrong.

Over at The National Interest this week, former Naval Diplomat shipmate — U.S. Marines say there are no former Marines, just Marines; are there former shipmates? — Bryan McGrath wades into the debate over Tom Ricks’s Washington Post column urging the U.S. military to get smaller to get better.

Let me wade in as well; the water’s fine. Ricks takes aim at the U.S. Navy’s fleet of nuclear-powered aircraft carriers in particular. He cites the expense of CVNs, but Bryan zeroes in mainly on the question of flattops’ vulnerability in a threat environment populated by exotic armaments such as anti-ship cruise and ballistic missiles, stealth tactical aircraft, and so forth.

Bryan mocks Ricks’ observation that CVNs look much like their distant ancestors. But the point is that carriers have enormous radar cross-sections. They don’t have that sleek, angular, unearthly appearance that typifies stealth aircraft and ships. Radar essentially shouts and listens for the echo. A bulky hull featuring lots of flat surfaces, sharp edges, and protuberances is bound to reflect electromagnetic radiation — the shout — returning that echo to the adversary’s radar set and thence to his fire-control system and anti-ship weaponry. In that sense, the look of a ship does matter, as Ricks observes.

The game’s afoot once the ship is detected. To delay detection and targeting, shipbuilders have incorporated gee-whiz measures into the design of the Gerald R. Ford, the U.S. Navy’s latest supercarrier. Cutting down on its RCS helps. Still, short of conducting a true-to-life Philadelphia Experiment on a grand scale, there’s only so much you can do to disguise a 100,000-ton behemoth. While it represents the vanguard of carrier

(Excerpt) Read more at thediplomat.com ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: aerospace; aircraftcarrier; battleships; bhodod; navair; navies; navy; ships; usn; usnavy; warships
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To: sukhoi-30mki

Aircraft Carriers are mobile ISLANDS... under american control..
Just having one in someones general vicinity causes a look over the shoulder..

More firepower than most countrys.. and better PR source than most media outlets..
and thats overlooking the military Porn angle..

American carriers are damn good looking sexy pieces of equipment..


41 posted on 12/13/2013 1:36:58 PM PST by hosepipe (This propaganda has been edited to include some fully orbed hyperbole..)
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To: GeronL
9 I was always worried we weren’t building up the support for the big ships and combat. Do we have the cargo ship tonnage needed to move massive amounts of equipment and supplies if a war broke out?

I recall during POTUS #40 RWR's watch that he was trying to get us to a 600 ship Navy. Today we are < 300. Even if we had a merchant marine force to transport men/supplies, it would have to be defended - just think of the U-boat slaughter of the convoys in the North Atlantic during 1940-1943.

I was just thinking of our Army airborne divisions. With the world being flooded with MANPADS today, It seems almost suicidal to do a combat drop. I think the last 1 was in Aghanistan, not long after 9/11, an airfield assault somewhere between 2001-02.

42 posted on 12/13/2013 1:39:34 PM PST by MacNaughton
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To: DoughtyOne

43 posted on 12/13/2013 1:41:53 PM PST by Bratch
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To: GeronL
We have massive amounts of equipment on ships already, sitting in strategic locations around the world. While it sits there the crew performs rotating maintenance on the gear.

As far as replacing carriers goes, the problem is sustained response. Yes, we can launch missile strikes from surface combatants, submarines and long range bombers, but those missiles are very expensive for the amount of explosive you are delivering. The result is that a large missile strike at the beginning of a conflict severely depletes our stores. Tough solution.

44 posted on 12/13/2013 1:46:41 PM PST by USNBandit (sarcasm engaged at all times)
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To: KC_Lion

This is an easy one to solve, name the next carrier the USS Obama, no one will be able to find it in an emergency or pin it down...


45 posted on 12/13/2013 1:48:17 PM PST by Lockbox
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To: Bratch

It’s a beauty isn’t it. Thanks for the post.


46 posted on 12/13/2013 1:49:33 PM PST by DoughtyOne (Zero = zero)
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To: Mad Dawgg
A cockpit, ejection seat, controls, etc weighs about 800 lb per crew station. The added weight is saved in over engineering more safety for the pilot.

When you look at the X-47b UCAV, you aren't looking at an aircraft to engage other aircraft, you are looking at a strike platform that goes downtown and drops a couple JDAM. They still aren't cheap, and you want them back. That still requires a full sized carrier deck.

47 posted on 12/13/2013 1:53:47 PM PST by USNBandit (sarcasm engaged at all times)
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To: wolfpat

I forsee drone surface and submarine launching platforms for flying drones in 10 years at less expense and risk to operate than current fleet technology. The arguement will be made that we no longer require manned fleets when we can field twice as many unmanned for a lower cost.

Then when the shooting starts we’ll have no one in theater to react when the data feeds are disrupted.


48 posted on 12/13/2013 2:10:55 PM PST by reed13k (For evil to triumph it is only necessary for good men to do nothings)
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To: RinaseaofDs
More specifically, you can produce a large number of more inexpensive drones

Stalin is quoted that "Quantity has a quality all its own". In some situations that may be true. I had some Air Force guy tell me that our aircraft can handle 10 enemy aircraft at one time. When I asked him what happens when nos. 11-15 show up I got a deer in the headlights reaction.

49 posted on 12/13/2013 2:12:13 PM PST by Oatka (This is America. Assimilate or evaporate.)
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To: Oatka

With the F-22, you can handle 10 or more, but realistically, you are talking 11 trained enemy pilots.

That is very, very expensive and hard for anyone to do, even the US.

With drones, the training becomes infinitely less expensive.

Support costs, however, could increase.

Recovering certain downed drowns may be required, for example.


50 posted on 12/13/2013 2:17:18 PM PST by RinaseaofDs
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To: KC_Lion

51 posted on 12/13/2013 2:50:13 PM PST by Sporke
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To: DoughtyOne

My personal favorite of low-tech solutions is to kill so many of the people of an attacking nation or ideology and destroy so much of their infrastructure as to make it blatantly obvious that screwing with the US isn’t in ones best interest.


52 posted on 12/13/2013 3:04:33 PM PST by Axenolith (Government blows, and that which governs least, blows least...)
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To: Axenolith

Works for me...

I think China somewhat lives outside of reality. I honestly think they’d give up half their populace if they thought they could come out on top.


53 posted on 12/13/2013 3:08:10 PM PST by DoughtyOne (Zero = zero)
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To: GeronL
Yes.

Take a look:

US Military Sea Lift Command Vessels

These are not officially a part of the US Navy anymore. They are not "USS" vessels, instead, they are "USNS" vessels. Usuallu crewed mostly by Merchant Marines with small US NAvy detachments for communications and operations.

We have a lot of really big ships to move mountains of supplies and have in fact pre-positioned loats of it at places like Diego Garcia, Guam, Saipan, etc.

54 posted on 12/13/2013 4:17:17 PM PST by Jeff Head
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To: Jeff Head

good to hear


55 posted on 12/13/2013 4:27:01 PM PST by GeronL (Extra Large Cheesy Over-Stuffed Hobbit)
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To: reed13k

Consider drones armed with homing torpedos, drone
torpedos, drone submersibles.
I wonder how DARPA is coming with LOKI?
Look up DARPA+LOKI sometime.
I could see that as a drone, no crew to worry
about.
Several millions invested, they should have made
some progress on the vortex drive by now.


56 posted on 12/13/2013 4:27:31 PM PST by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
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To: SandRat

He is correct. Submarines rule the sea and the is the fact.


57 posted on 12/13/2013 4:29:05 PM PST by bmwcyle (People who do not study history are destine to believe really ignorant statements.)
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To: KC_Lion

What will make the carriers obsolete are hypersonic and trans-atmospheric aircraft that can be anywhere in the world within 90 minutes. Who needs a carrier on station when you can send in a fighter that can take off and land from the USA?


58 posted on 12/13/2013 4:50:57 PM PST by MeganC (Support Matt Bevin to oust Mitch McConnell! https://mattbevin.com/)
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To: aegiscg47

Most people think because a CVN looks huge next to the pier it’s easy to find at sea. The first part of anybody’s ‘kill chain’ starts with ‘Find’ and includes track and identify. That’s not easy when the ‘target’ can be anywhere within 2 million square miles of ocean in 24 hours.


59 posted on 12/13/2013 5:00:32 PM PST by GreyHoundSailor
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To: Sporke; MeganC; GeronL
Oh I never said I don't like Battleships if that is where you are getting at Sporke.

Quite the contrary I think there will always be a place for Naval Gunfire Support.

But the fact is that these Carriers (all warships really) are getting too big vulnerable for their own good.

Take Destroyers, where does that name come from?

Torpedo Boat Destroyer

I.E. smaller ships to protect the larger ones from extremely small craft.

U.S.S. Cole proved that all the Missiles in the world can't protect you from a Skiff with TNT.

60 posted on 12/13/2013 5:38:37 PM PST by KC_Lion (Build the America you want to live in at your address, and keep looking up.-Sarah Palin)
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