CD 3 would be interesting if it was open and the rats nominated a moonbat and the Republican was well-funded.
But beating Lipinksi Jr this year, I’m gonna go 1%. Though it voted slightly more GOP for President than any the gerrymandered seats we lost, it’s got Madiganinstani precincts.
The 11th, I just don’t see happening. Foster is easily the strongest rat of these. I think Balkema is justifying his run because he works in Joilet, for Caterpillar inc, so it’s not as if he’s completely without tie to the district.
The others I can see victory in. The 12th, even money at least.
Schneider was a lesser tier choice, I think he literally won the rat primary against fellow nobodies because he had the least weird name. And he only won in November cause of coattails. You may be right to be rosy on Dold, but I don’t know, my gut says under 50.
Good points on Schilling, I believe McCain % shrank 4 points with the remap. Schilling still would have won in 2010 with a 4 point swing against (though it would have been thanks to a Green).
Yes, as I acknowledged in a prior post, Balkema has ties to the district in that he works in Joliet. But Joliet is in the fringes of a district centered in suburban Cook and DuPage Counties, and Balkema has never run for office (or even voted) within the district, and Grundy is (fairly or unfairly) seen as the sticks by Chicago suburbanites (such as those who constitute the overwhelming majority of voters in the district). We’re much better off running suburban state rep Senger. (And, yes, it still would be uphill for Senger: I place her odds of beating Foster at 35%.)