I always ask this question when the MSM begins touting the panicky forecasts of a “potentially devastating” hurricane season every summer:
Have these guys EVER forecast a “below average” hurricane season?
Yes! I think the year you are interested in is 2005. In that year there were so many, they cycled thru the name list to the end, and then had to start at 'A' again. There were 28 named storms and 15 hurricanes. 7 major 'caines. The forecast early that year was *WAY* less than 28.
hmmmm re-reading my reply, I suppose that does not directly answer your question. I don’t know how many were forecast for 2005, and if that was below average. But, the point I’m making is that they can forecast many less than actually occur.