NJ-05 isn’t as safely Republican as it was prior to 2012 redistricting, but it’s still a comfortably GOP seat. Garrett is to the right of the district, and Cho is spending some money, but Garrett will win by 8%-12%.
That Remington poll in IA-03 is an R poll, and I fear that Appel is ahead.
In NH, right now I’d predict that Guinta will win by 4% or so and Brown will beat Shaheen by 2%, but Havenstein and the lovely Marilinda Garcia will fall just short. I hope that I’m wrong about Haverstein and Garcia (especially the latter, who could become a superstar in the House and a future Senator or more).
Good poll out of Maine. Looks like LePage might draw that inside straight once again and win with 40% or less, and Poliquin is poised to become the most conservative member of Congress from ME (either house) in at least a half century.
Meanwhile in NJ-2
Frank LoBiondo (R) 56%, Rat Scion Bill Hughes (D) 35%.