[Viennacon]

McDaniel really could pull this out. Holmes and Covington are left, right?

Well, judging by neighboring counties, Holmes should have a population voting about 800-1000 maybe. But in Jones, which is right next to Covington, there were 11,000 votes cast for McDaniel! Covington will boost McDaniel, perhaps over the top!

[Mom MD]

If it comes down to a runoff, which way are Carey voters likely to go?

[ken5050]

Are you perchance Michael Barone in disguise?

[TontoKowalski]

No Covington doesn't have the population of Jones County... so there won't be that much of a vote differential. But it WILL be headed in the right direction.

I figure the rest of Hinds will give up a net 1000 votes for Cochran. I don't know if Chris can avoid the run-off.

I wouldn't be shocked if Cochran conceded the raced without a runoff. He's 76, and this race has to be a shock to him after decades of running virtually unopposed. More than half of his own party in the state voted for someone else. He still has something of an honorable reputation within the state, and I think he'd like to end it that way, rather than being dumped in a pointless run-off.