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To: ObamahatesPACoal

“Recent polls show Hillary Clinton running well among white voters overall...”

Maybe single white women. Historically, married white women & white men vote Republican. By race, 59% of whites voted for Romney in 2012. White men voted for Romney at 62%.

” In 2004, Bush got fifty-five per cent of the white female vote, and Kerry got forty-four per cent—a “reverse gender gap” (one working in the G.O.P.’s favor) of eleven points. In 2008, McCain got fifty-three per cent of the white female vote, and Obama got forty-six per cent—a gap of seven points. Compared to four years earlier, the reverse gender gap in this demographic had decreased by four points, indicating that the Democrats were making progress in attracting the votes of white women. But this year, that trend turned around again. Far from narrowing further, the reverse gender gap among white women widened to fourteen points. Romney got fifty-six per cent of the white female vote; Obama got just forty-two per cent.”

http://www.newyorker.com/online/blogs/johncassidy/2012/11/why-white-women-voted-for-romney.html

From the same link, why did Obama win in 2012?

“Ninety-six per cent of black women voted for Obama; seventy-six per cent of Hispanic women voted for him; and so did sixty-six per cent of women of other races, including Asians.”

The married divide worked this way:

“Nearly a quarter of the voters in Tuesday’s election were unmarried women – and Obama captured more than two-thirds of their votes, 67%, according to research...Mitt Romney actually did better than Obama among married women, outperforming the president by seven points.”

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2012/nov/09/single-women-voted-favour-obama

Sorry, but I’m not buying the idea that Hillary is attractive to white women voters.


40 posted on 06/20/2014 10:33:01 PM PDT by Mr Rogers (Left wing. Right wing. One buzzard.)
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To: Mr Rogers
Re: “Sorry, but I’m not buying the idea that Hillary is attractive to white women voters.”

No matter whom the Democrats nominate in 2016, the Republican candidate must get at least 60% of the white vote to win.

That is not easy.

From memory - Reagan was the last guy to do that, in 1984, when he got 66%.

Romney got 59% of whites in 2012, and he still lost to Obama by 4%.

Most likely, Hillary would lose some of Obama’s massive ethnic support.

But, in my opinion, if we can't hit 60% of white voters in 2016, the GOP is going to lose the White House.

46 posted on 06/21/2014 12:10:52 AM PDT by zeestephen
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