Posted on 07/07/2014 9:55:17 AM PDT by driftdiver
The bad news first. The People's Republic of China now believes it can successfully prevent the United States from intervening in the event of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan or some other military assault by Beijing.
Now the good news. China is wrong — and for one major reason. It apparently disregards the decisive power of America's nuclear-powered submarines.
Moreover, for economic and demographic reasons Beijing has a narrow historical window in which to use its military to alter the world's power structure. .........
The U.S. Navy's submarines — the unsung main defenders of the current world order — must hold the line against China for another 20 years. ......
How China wins
The bad news came from Lee Fuell, from the U.S. Air Force's National Air and Space Intelligence Center, during Fuell's testimony before the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission in Washington, D.C. on Jan. 30.
.......
A preemptive strike was, needless to say, a highly risky proposition. If it worked, the PLA just might secure enough space and time to defeat defending troops, seize territory, and position itself for a favorable post-war settlement.
But if China failed to disable American forces with a surprise attack, Beijing could find itself fighting a full-scale war on at least two fronts: against the country it was invading plus the full might of U.S. Pacific Command, fully mobilized and probably strongly backed by the rest of the world.
That was then. But after two decades of sustained military modernization, the Chinese military has fundamentally changed its strategy in just the last year or so. According to Fuell, recent writings by PLA officers indicate "a growing confidence within the PLA that they can more-readily withstand U.S. involvement."
(Excerpt) Read more at theweek.com ...
As he said about Iraq, “We need to build a multi-national coalition to address this problem.”
In other words, leading from behind. Doing nothing.
With Obama acting as CIC even Fiji could probably beat us.
With our current C-in-C, they probably could.
he indeed does have our back.
with a knife.
It may not matter whether China can actually defeat the US in battle. The dangerous time is when China “thinks” it can and is willing to test their theory.
The writer apparently has disregarded the possibility that the Obama Administration would not take any action to prevent China from taking over Taiwan.
The only question is when. If China believes we will continue to grow weaker and it will be easier if they wait, then they might wait.
They certainly can without even firing a shot. First, they demand we pay our debt...
Two words... Multifront war... Russia invades the Baltic states the same time China hits Taiwan. North Korea invades South Korea. Iran crosses Iraq and Syria and sweeps to Israel.
Considering a handful of terrorists in Benghazi kicked our arse, I have no doubt China could overtake us without much resistance.
“Now the good news. China is wrong....”
.
We shall never know, because it is doubtful that Obama will lend a helping hand in the survival of Taiwan should the mainland invade.
Now, with Bambi in the WH, is the right time for the ChiComs to strike, and they know it.
China doesn’t have our secret weapon: A few divisions of combat chicks and a few of ninja gays, and one very special unit of transsexuals.
A marxist, America-hating commander-in-chief, leading a now-faggotized, PC-immersed armed forces?
China indeed has every reason to believe it can defeat America under these circumstances. It very well might.
That was my thought as well. A good article and basically the only reason they can’t beat us is our submarine forces and our nukes. Bam bam would never use nukes and would never attack a chinese ship to protect Taiwan.
Yeah, China has considerable economic power over much of the world should they choose to exert it.
When we got into Iraq we had to scramble to find a supplier of armor grade steel because China decided it was a good time to do a little price gouging on us. (Switzerland cut off our supply of computer parts for guidance systems for missiles.)
If China made a go for it, we couldn’t get the assets there to stop them soon enough.
What we could, and historically have, done is make it so expensive no one wants to try it. Kind of like South Korea.
Yep...no problems with this assessment.
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