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To: mvonfr

Today’s map:

https://slavyangrad.files.wordpress.com/2014/08/karta_ahartin_20_aug.jpg

If this is true, the Lugansk Front is collapsing, and Southeast of Donetsk is in danger of it. It would explain the reports of fortifications going up near both Mauriopal and Slavyansk.


8 posted on 08/21/2014 11:58:28 AM PDT by tcrlaf (Q)
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To: tcrlaf
Nice you found a non-cyrillic map, I did not know they are made. The source of both maps is the same and they are essentially accurate... I've been following them for a while and some errors were observed but minor.

So yes, essentially true.

Neither front is actually collapsing just yet, the Junta has 2nd line troops in both directions....whether they can fight at all is uncertain. And the Novorussians still have to deal with all the pockets. What is more important is that the Junta seems to be nearly out of regular armed forces, no more than five brigades retain some fighting capabilities. If you look at the recent reports, mostly it is the NG "battalions" that are mentioned and not the army units. The much promoted attack on Lugansk in particular was done by 250 men (200 TB "Aidar", 50 marines).. enough to take a police building in a suburb as they did, not enough to do anything to a city that used to have 400k population and likely defended by a few thousand Novorussians.

As for Slavyansk/Mariupol... if it gets there, I fail to understand why Novorussians need to take or even seige either place...they are much better in dynamic warfare.

9 posted on 08/21/2014 8:06:42 PM PDT by mvonfr
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To: tcrlaf

Thanks for the http://slavyangrad.org/ link :D


10 posted on 08/21/2014 8:08:47 PM PDT by mvonfr
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