Analysts are predicting a 4 - 8 GOP gain in the Senate.
Here's the list of close Senate races:
This list does not include the Senate seats which are considered to be Safe for either party.
| State | Republican | Democrat |
|---|---|---|
| AK | Dan Sullivan | Mark Begich |
| AR | Tom Cotton | Mark Pryor |
| CO | Cory Gardner | Mark Udall |
| GA-OPEN | David Perdue | Michelle Nunn |
| IA-OPEN | Joni Ernst | Bruce Braley |
| IL | Jim Oberweis | Dick Durbin |
| KS | Pat Roberts | Chad Taylor |
| KY | Mitch McConnell | Alison Grimes |
| LA | Bill Cassidy | Mary Landrieu |
| MI-OPEN | Teri Lynn Land | Gary Peters |
| MN | Mike McFadden | Al Franken |
| MS | Thad Cochran | Travis Childers |
| MT-OPEN | Steve Daines | Amanda Curtis |
| NC | Thom Tillis | Kay Hagan |
| NH | Scott Brown | Jeanne Shaheen |
| NJ | Jeff Bell | Cory Booker |
| OR | Monica Wehby | Jeff Merkley |
| SD-OPEN | Mike Rounds | RIck Weiland |
| VA | Ed Gillespie | Mark Warner |
| WV-OPEN | Shelley Moore Capito | Natalie Tennant |
That list says 20 seats in play...
Current Senate: 45R vs. 55D
90% chance: GOP+6 = 51R vs. 49D
50% chance: GOP+9 = 54R vs. 46D
Perfect storm: GOP+11 = 56R vs. 44D
Most likely scenario: GOP+8 = 53R vs. 47D
What qualifies as a “wave”?