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To: BlatherNaut

Fun things to consider:

At the onset, Flu and other relatively non lethal viruses will present with the same symptoms. Although Ebola will likely be much more prevalent than it is now, the prevalence of Ebola will still very low even if there are let’s say 3000 US cases this winter. That would be a prevalence of .001%. According to Flu.gov about 5-20% of people get Flu per year, so with round numbers, lets say that’s a prevalence of around 10% or 10,000 times greater than Ebola.

Now if hospitals start testing for Ebola when people come in with non-specific symptoms, it is likely that a rapid test will be employed because an answer can be obtained quickly; generally less than 30 minutes. That might sound like a good thing except that rapid tests typically have a higher rate of inaccuracies (false positives and false negatives) than the gold standard confirmatory test which takes longer but is more accurate. It could be that the false positive rate is one or two percent.

Therefore, it is more likely that a person with non specific symptoms will have a false positive test for Ebola than a true positive test for Ebola because the prevalence of the Flu is on the order of 10,000 times greater. Until confirmation with the gold standard test is obtained, the patient with a positive screen will be a presumptive Ebola case and the state will decide on that person’s disposition. If all cases testing positive for Ebola are quarantined together, inevitably more people will contract Ebola needlessly.

I think that’s the pathway to medical martial law.


21 posted on 10/30/2014 5:22:42 PM PDT by grumpygresh (Democrats delenda est. President zero gave us patient zero.)
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To: grumpygresh

3000 mgs. C , 10,000 i.u.’s D or D3, Omega 3, selenium get in the sun!
Olive leaf (Barleans liquid) is a good fighter, echinacea,and Elderberry syrup.
Keep up your probiotics and Multi’s.


32 posted on 10/30/2014 8:55:40 PM PDT by acapesket
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