Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Ebola Predictions: Scientists See Cases In Every Major U.S. City Possible By Year’s End
The Inquisitr News / The Associated Press ^ | November 1, 2014

Posted on 11/01/2014 9:42:10 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

click here to read article


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-8081-85 next last
To: Jim Noble
In specialized US treatment centers, the mortality is zero (0/8).

...and one out of one dead outside them, which is where everyone else will be if those 23 specialized beds are filled.

61 posted on 11/02/2014 8:00:22 AM PST by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 49 | View Replies]

To: palmer
It is extremely unlikely that Ebola will become endemic in North America when we have eliminated and keep eliminating many other formerly endemic diseases.

That still does not justify bringing it here under any but the most controlled conditions. At present, the door is wide open.

62 posted on 11/02/2014 8:03:05 AM PST by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 55 | View Replies]

To: joshua c
The recent cases, such as Nina Pham, recovered because they received a blood transfusion from a cured patient. I would imagine this blood supply is extremely limited.

I could see part of the payment for treatment including plasma donations. It's not that unfair... the IV just has to run the other way for a couple of minutes as a little payback for the supportive therapy.

63 posted on 11/02/2014 8:28:38 AM PST by Pearls Before Swine
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 24 | View Replies]

To: joshua c
The recent cases, such as Nina Pham, recovered because they received a blood transfusion from a cured patient. I would imagine this blood supply is extremely limited.

I could see part of the payment for treatment including plasma donations. It's not that unfair... the IV just has to run the other way for a couple of minutes as a little payback for the supportive therapy.

64 posted on 11/02/2014 8:28:44 AM PST by Pearls Before Swine
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 24 | View Replies]

To: Smokin' Joe

I agree. By bringing it here they will bankrupt the hospitals, infect and kill first responders and infect medical workers, and put ordinary Americans at risk. After some number of fatalities this will be obvious and the politicians will put a stop to it.


65 posted on 11/02/2014 8:37:09 AM PST by palmer (Thank you for your patience.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 62 | View Replies]

To: null and void
Scientists See Cases In Every Major U.S. City Possible By Year’s End

So if there are a few major cities that don't have a confirmed case by December 31, "journalists" can say it was unreasoning hysteria, right?

66 posted on 11/02/2014 8:42:59 AM PST by Tax-chick (Advent begins in one month. Clean house!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 50 | View Replies]

To: Tax-chick

Not just journalists, FR’s very own poop-pooer Ebola ex-spurts and obama policy/open borders defenders will show up in force as well.


67 posted on 11/02/2014 8:49:33 AM PST by null and void (If a quarantine saves just one child's life, it's worth it.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 66 | View Replies]

To: Jim Noble

Your stats omitted Duncan.

That’s OK,...many of the West African stats omit the heavily infected populations as well,....to awkward to include it statistically.


68 posted on 11/02/2014 8:50:31 AM PST by Cvengr (Adversity in life and death is inevitable. Thru faith in Christ, stress is optional.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 49 | View Replies]

To: null and void

The next three weeks are going to be very interesting. The handful of currently confirmed Ebola patients had lots of contacts before they were diagnosed. If a lot of those people get sick, we’re doomed, statistically speaking.


69 posted on 11/02/2014 8:52:41 AM PST by Tax-chick (Advent begins in one month. Clean house!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 67 | View Replies]

To: Cowgirl of Justice
But, those 130 cases could each shut down an ER for a long time and close many businesses just like 9/11 shut down the airline business.

If they were still being allowed in the ERs.

I think that by the time we have 10 cases here, maybe fewer, Ebola patients will not be allowed anywhere near a regular ER. They will be screened and diverted outside. It is already happening now as patients are being shuttled directly to isolation rooms (e.g. Portland).

70 posted on 11/02/2014 8:57:50 AM PST by steve86 (Prophecies of Maelmhaedhoc OÂ’Morgair (Latin form: Malachy))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 37 | View Replies]

To: Cvengr; Smokin' Joe

Duncan was not treated in a specialized center, he was treated in a (unprepared) general hospital.

I am not suggesting by any means that 8/8 can be translated into 800/800. I have been consistent about both travel restriction and quarantine, and I still favor both.

But the proposition that Ebola is not close to 70% fatal with modern treatment in Western hospitals is validated, I think, by the 8/8 stat.


71 posted on 11/02/2014 9:03:23 AM PST by Jim Noble (When strong, avoid them. Attack their weaknesses. Emerge to their surprise.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 68 | View Replies]

To: Cvengr



 photo Obama-Collage-7--Ebola--2014-11-02_zps29e5b976.jpg


 photo Obama-Collage-4--Illegals--2014-11-02_zpsfaef024f.jpg.

72 posted on 11/02/2014 9:22:52 AM PST by Patton@Bastogne
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Patton@Bastogne; null and void

Patton, nully

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3222229/posts?page=72#72

question on the first picture:

what in the world is the disease that causes that arm to have boils? whatever it is on it? The plague?

egads....


73 posted on 11/02/2014 10:18:42 AM PST by WildHighlander57 ((WildHighlander57, returning after lurking since 2001)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 72 | View Replies]

To: Tax-chick

There is a difference between decontamination, disinfection, and sterilization.

Ebola is assigned the BSL-4 classification because there is no known cure and it is likely to be fatal.

FWIW, some indicate it only takes 3-10 virions to infect somebody with ebola. Ebola is encapsulated, but it’s size is 70nm x1400 nm (avg length). That is about 25% smaller than a HEPA filter lower threshold. Even HEPA filters only filter out up to 99.97% of particulate matter at .3 microns (300 nm).

Clean room studies indicate a human sitting at rest, exhales about 100,000 particles/minute at .3 micron size and larger.

Ebola virus is known to be infectious by close bodily fluid contact and not documented to be transmitted amongst humans by breathing, and it is not known to replicate in the air, and epidemiologically, not likely to be airborne, but it might be transmitted as an aerosol.

With 99.97 % efficiency, our HEPA filters aren’t designed to fully sterilize, but they are expected to allow 30 particles through at 4x the size of the ebola virus.

While the ebola virus isn’t known to be replicating in these environments, it has been known to survive on dried blood splatter for 52 days in ambient temperatures in the dark.

It is known to replicate in human blood cells to the point that one blood droplet on a corpse may contain 3.2 million virions.

After it infects the blood, a virion may enter a blood cell, where it lives and replicates. When it’s replication rate exceeds the capacity of the blood cell to contain it, the cell may explode, releasing thousands of virions into the blood stream where they continue the process.

It’s RNA process has been studied and it is known to cause hemorrhagic fevers, leading to death.

Also, while many infected fatally, there are also other groups who appear to survive the virus, so something occurs in some survivors to interrupt either the replication process or allows the body to naturally immunize itself from the virus’ typical processes.

For those without immunity, isolation from the virions is the wisest choice at present.

Statistically, there might be situations where the virion is transmitted outside the bodily fluid, but in such small numbers that other bodily processes or natural phenomenon kill the virus before it maintains a replication rate observed in bodily fluids. Some might continue to replicate to a point they are of the same concentration as those exposed to contaminated bodily fluids. This might nicely explain the extreme range in manifest symptoms from secondary tissue immune system damage. IMHO, there are probably many other secondary processes not yet documented which attribute to the wide range of symptoms exhibited.

While some West African cultural traditions might grossly favor transmission, the large percentages of health care workers infected by the virus indicates there maybe other risky operations than simply avoiding bodily contact.

HIV is only a BSL-2 hazard, while ebola is still a BSL-4 hazard, and for good reasons. If one can only get infected by close bodily contact from fluids, it’s study would be required in a vault, in a submarine, in a prison.


74 posted on 11/02/2014 11:35:31 AM PST by Cvengr (Adversity in life and death is inevitable. Thru faith in Christ, stress is optional.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 69 | View Replies]

To: Jim Noble

My understanding is that they aren’t being treated, but rather having their blood replaced and transfused, preferably with blood from a past ebola survivor, with prayers they too will survive.


75 posted on 11/02/2014 11:39:23 AM PST by Cvengr (Adversity in life and death is inevitable. Thru faith in Christ, stress is optional.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 71 | View Replies]

To: Tax-chick
The handful of currently confirmed Ebola patients had lots of contacts before they were diagnosed. If a lot of those people get sick, we’re doomed, statistically speaking.

Jim Noble FR prediction: Zero sporadic cases by 11/22/14 in the USA. Sporadic does not include: Arrivals from Guinea, Liberia, or Sierra Leone, their sex partners, or health care workers caring for Craig Spencer or any other non-sporadic case. Sporadic does include subway riders, bowlers, roommates without sexual or blood contact, bike riders, and everybody else.

I will revisit the issue on 11/22.

76 posted on 11/02/2014 11:46:26 AM PST by Jim Noble (When strong, avoid them. Attack their weaknesses. Emerge to their surprise.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 69 | View Replies]

To: WildHighlander57

That’s ebola. It’s a hemorrhagic fever,..reduces clotting and eats at internal flesh resulting in internal bleeding.


77 posted on 11/02/2014 12:12:35 PM PST by Cvengr (Adversity in life and death is inevitable. Thru faith in Christ, stress is optional.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 73 | View Replies]

To: Jim Noble

I hope you’re right.


78 posted on 11/02/2014 12:13:25 PM PST by Tax-chick (Advent begins in one month. Clean house!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 76 | View Replies]

To: Tax-chick
I hope you're right

Me, too. I've taken quite a beating around here for pointing out the lack of evidence for airborne transmission, now, thanks to the very poor judgement of the government, we get to see the results of the experiment.

79 posted on 11/02/2014 12:43:19 PM PST by Jim Noble (When strong, avoid them. Attack their weaknesses. Emerge to their surprise.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 78 | View Replies]

To: Jim Noble
I've taken quite a beating around here for pointing out the lack of evidence for airborne transmission

Saying, "Wait and see, we don't really know," is against the tide of sentiment right now. A big problem is that nobody trusts the Obama administration, the CDC, or medical personnel now: not their competence nor their good will.

80 posted on 11/02/2014 12:56:00 PM PST by Tax-chick (Advent begins in one month. Clean house!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 79 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-8081-85 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson