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Colorado GOP Turns Out 61.1% of Its Registered Members, Democrats Turn Out 51.5%
NRO ^ | November 4, 2014 2:49 PM | Jim Geraghty

Posted on 11/04/2014 12:28:55 PM PST by Red Steel

A Colorado reader digests the latest early voting numbers:

Dems had better get a huge turnout advantage on election day. If the election were based on the votes through yesterday afternoon, they would need to carry Independents by 65-35 to make up the difference (now, I realize that some GOP voters will go Dem, and Dem voters will go GOP, so this might not be completely accurate, but it’s close).

To put this in perspective, according to the SoS numbers as of the end of October, here is what voter registration looks like:

Total: 2,986,362

GOP 966,082 (32.3%)

Dem: 913,246 (30.5%)

So, 49 percent of registered voters have already voted. When pundits project 2.1M voters in Colorado, that would mean 70.3 percent turnout. That seems awfully high in a non-presidential year. So, yesterday I said that perhaps 2/3 have already voted, but it may be higher than that.

Interjection from Jim: This is the first year Colorado has used vote by mail and so we should expect turnout to be significantly higher than past cycles. Oregon enjoyed turnout of 70 percent (2006) to 86 percent (2004) in its elections.

GOP turnout percentage is +8.1 points, while Dem turnout is +1.6 points.

GOP has turned out 61.1% of its registered voters, Dems have turned out 51.5%, while Others is much lower, at 36.4%. So, could we be looking at an election where (i) both the GOP and Dems do pretty well with turnout of their respective voters, (ii) GOP does better by 5-10 points (in % of RVs turned out) because the GOP is more motivated (we’ve seen numbers in this range in polling of voter enthusiasm), and (iii) the Independents don’t turn out at nearly the same rate, and their turnout is much more in line with what one would expect for a mid-term election, or at a time when neither party is terribly well liked?

One figure working for the Republicans in Colorado: “Mail ballots have to arrive by 7:00 on election night. It doesn’t matter when they’re post-marked.” In some other states, such as Iowa, ballots will be accepted in the days after the election if they were postmarked one day before the election.

Colorado also permits residents to register to vote today and cast legal ballots.


TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections; US: Colorado
KEYWORDS: 20124midterms; beauprez; co2014; colorado; gardner
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To: Carl Vehse

Yes, but how many ballots does each Demonicrat get to cast compared to each Republican.


I think 10 ballots per ‘harvester’ is the new law.


21 posted on 11/04/2014 1:11:17 PM PST by txhurl (2014: Stunned Voters do Stunning Things!)
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To: rdl6989

22 posted on 11/04/2014 1:13:41 PM PST by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: musicman

libertarians were all at home high?


23 posted on 11/04/2014 1:18:25 PM PST by GeronL (Vote for Conservatives not for Republicans)
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To: GeronL
 photo 

CM54Marijuana-Not-Crack-Posters.jpg

24 posted on 11/04/2014 1:20:58 PM PST by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: ZOOKER

One of the most egregious bills the Colorado Democrats steamrolled through during the power-drunk orgy of a couple of years back was called by one senator, the democrat voter fraud act. It invites the steeling of elections and voter mischief. With same day registration, mail in ballots sent to wrong address’s, no id checks, no crosschecking on where or if the same day registrant has not same day registered in another place, ballot harvesting and no real resident checks, the table is set for the highjacking of fair elections. The democrats rigged the system to cheat. If the republicans manage to overcome the chicanery and win, repealing of the democrat voter fraud act should be done in the first week, repeal of gun legislation on the second.


25 posted on 11/04/2014 1:22:26 PM PST by DaveyB
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To: Red Steel

Just Wow. that is very good. It is hard to turn all of your people out.


26 posted on 11/04/2014 1:23:51 PM PST by CPT Clay (Follow me on Twitter @Clay N TX)
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To: musicman

LOL


27 posted on 11/04/2014 1:26:18 PM PST by CPT Clay (Follow me on Twitter @Clay N TX)
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To: GraceG
Sometimes democrats in other states turn out 110%, 120% or more.

Let's see if they get the other 60% today.

28 posted on 11/04/2014 1:34:00 PM PST by MulberryDraw (Repeal it.)
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To: VanDeKoik

I don’t think the dems will opt for voter fraud this time around. They seem inclined to lose this time around and be ok with it. I’m trying to come up with a good reason for it, and the best I can get is (1) that it gives them the opening to blame republicans for something that is going to happen, or (2) it gives them a chance to get a ‘fixed’ obamacare bill on the desk of the president for him to sign in a ‘great display of bipartisanship’.


29 posted on 11/04/2014 1:40:08 PM PST by xzins ( Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Those who truly support our troops pray for victory!)
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To: VanDeKoik

“Cue the usual crew to opine that this is just a ruse and voter fraud is going to steal it.”

Here you go:

http://gazette.com/scattered-election-computer-problems-reported-in-colorado/article/1540777

It’s like...MAGIC.


30 posted on 11/04/2014 1:57:45 PM PST by Up Yours Marxists
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To: Red Steel

I dropped off my husband’s ballot today in Colorado Springs, and the line to drop off at the library was really long. I’m going to guess 30 cars long? I had business in the area a few hours later and when I went past later, the line was equally long.
Finally, the lady I lunched with had been there before the lunch hour, and it was packed.
This is easily the most conservative county in the state, so I am feeling hopeful right now.


31 posted on 11/04/2014 2:31:48 PM PST by mountainbunny (Faithless is he that says farewell when the road darkens ~ J.R.R. Tolkien)
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To: ZOOKER

Unless I am mistaken, there are no polling places open. This is mailed ballot only.


32 posted on 11/04/2014 2:34:11 PM PST by mountainbunny (Faithless is he that says farewell when the road darkens ~ J.R.R. Tolkien)
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To: Red Steel
When I showed up at the polls this morning they were just setting up. I and another voter helped them set the cookies out (this is a really small, converted one-room schoolhouse in the woods), voted, and left thinking gosh, turnout is sure light this year. By the time I hit the door I noticed the parking lot was full, they were parking on the grass, and in was walking a whole lot of the grimmest faces I've ever seen. Honest, it looked like a lynch mob and I was durn glad they weren't after me. These folks were HOT.

I don't think the Dems did very well out there. Just a suspicion.

33 posted on 11/04/2014 2:39:15 PM PST by Billthedrill
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To: Red Steel

I should explain that was in a very little place in northern Idaho.


34 posted on 11/04/2014 2:40:11 PM PST by Billthedrill
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To: Red Steel
So, 49 percent of registered voters have already voted. When pundits project 2.1M voters in Colorado, that would mean 70.3 percent turnout. That seems awfully high in a non-presidential year. So, yesterday I said that perhaps 2/3 have already voted, but it may be higher than that.

It is impossible to underestimate just how white-hot angry people in Colorado were after the Democrats crammed through the anti-gun legislation last year. They have not forgotten. I hope some lessons are learned tonight.

35 posted on 11/04/2014 2:44:28 PM PST by mountainbunny (Faithless is he that says farewell when the road darkens ~ J.R.R. Tolkien)
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To: mountainbunny
From the article:

Colorado also permits residents to register to vote today and cast legal ballots.

I could be wrong, I don't live in CO

36 posted on 11/04/2014 2:45:40 PM PST by ZOOKER (Until further notice the /s is implied...)
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To: mountainbunny
The Colorado afternoon ballot count is in. The boxes from left to right are Reps, Dems, Unaffiliated:

Reps have now increased their ballot count over Dems to ~125,000.

37 posted on 11/04/2014 2:59:33 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: VanDeKoik

“Cue the usual crew to opine that this is just a ruse and voter fraud is going to steal it.”

Only the Good Lord knows how many surrender monkeys and DU defeatist infiltrators we have running around FR telling us that we’re doomed. These pimples on our butts want to surrender because one or two elections haven’t turned around 50 years of leftist fascism.

We not only need to defeat our external enemies, we also need to defeat the little girls running around here, flapping their arms like chickens.


38 posted on 11/04/2014 5:14:00 PM PST by sergeantdave
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