Cassidy seems to be a heavy favorite now in LA, barring some game changing development between now and early December.
Gillespie doesn’t seem to have much hope left in Virginia. He is down 20,000 votes which seems insurmountable with the kind of minor corrections that happen at this point. The only thing that might still be a factor is if there are a large number of uncounted military absentee ballots. Does anyone know what they are waiting for in this race?
I’ve read that the Alaska race may not be decided for two weeks yet. The Republican has an 8000 vote lead over the Democrat incumbent, but there are as many as 40,000 uncounted absentee ballots out, which could be enough to overcome that lead. The absentee ballots are heavily drawn from remote parts of Alaska, including Inuit villages. I could see the absentee ballots in Alaska breaking 25,000 to 15,000 in favor of the Democrat, which would change the outcome. Does anyone who knows Alaska have any better information on this race?
I wish Sarah would have run for that Senate seat.
I’m a tad bit concerned about turn-out. I think Dec. 6th is the Saturday of the Southeastern Conference Championship Game. I’m not sure what the Early Voting laws are for Run-Offs in LA.
I wouldn't claim to be an expert on Alaska politics. but the night before the election, I recall hearing Karl Rove saying that a 3,000 or more vote margin for Sullivan before the remote and absentee votes are counted should be sufficient for him to win this thing. As it is, he has an 8,000+ vote margin, and I've heard reports that Republicans there are very confident. Remember that many military votes are probably remaining to be counted as well.
I heard earlier today (around 4p EST) that the race in AK was called for the Republican.
What’s holding up VA? I don’t know. Yesterday they did a canvas of all the counties to verify votes. By law the state pays for a recount if there’s a 1/2% difference between the candidates. I’ve heard 2M votes were cast with a 12K difference.
The last time a losing candidate in VA demanded a recount, it killed his political career. He was exhumed to run as an I against Ollie North, then went back to his crypt. It does seem pretty hopeless for Gillespie at this point, but he’s reputedly a top notch political operator, so I’ll give him the benefit of the doubt in knowing what he’s doing. Neither candidate expended much $ in this race, as it was a “given” that Warner had it.
Ms. Mary should get the hint about the DSCC pulling its $ from her runoff.
Most people, Rs and even Ds think his lead is insurmountable.
According to Google, with 100.00% reporting, it's Sullivan 48.96%, Begich 45.34%, the Losertarian 3.71%, and Ted Whosit 2.00%.