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Why the Blizzard Forecast Missed Its Mark
Wall Street Journal via MSN ^ | 1/27/15 | Robert Lee Hotz

Posted on 01/27/2015 4:56:02 PM PST by Libloather

National Weather Service experts misjudged the path and impact of the blizzard that struck the Northeast on Monday and Tuesday, in large part because they trusted the wrong forecasting model, several independent meteorologists said.

Rather than rely on their own forecasting system—upgraded in recent weeks—the federal experts placed their faith instead on a well-regarded European computer model that predicted the worst of this storm would squarely hit New York City. That system earlier had outperformed the U.S. forecasting system in predicting the path of superstorm Sandy.

This time, the European forecasting model was wrong, several commercial forecasters said. That model, one of four complex computer simulations normally used to calculate weather patterns along the Eastern seaboard, predicted that the heaviest snow would fall between 50 and 100 miles farther west than actually occurred. Still, it correctly calculated the broader outlines of the blizzard. As predicted, the storm pounded parts of Long Island, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Massachusetts and Maine, with winds in excess of 50 mph and snow in some locales up to 30 inches deep.

(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Extended News; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: blizzard; climatechange; forecast; globalwarming
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To: dfwgator

I was talking to my brother this morning, and said, yeah, we got a lot of snow, but we’re a bunch of wusses, comparatively speaking. The people who live in Buffalo get a boatload more than we do, all the time not once every five years, and theirs is often heavy and wet.

They just shrug it off, but if you live in Buffalo, what are ya gonna do?


61 posted on 01/27/2015 7:37:30 PM PST by rlmorel ("National success by the Democratic Party equals irretrievable ruin." Ulysses S. Grant)
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To: Darksheare

The blizzard science is settled!


62 posted on 01/27/2015 7:43:03 PM PST by ROCKLOBSTER (Celebrate "Republicans Freed the Slaves Month")
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To: babygene

So true...so true...


63 posted on 01/27/2015 8:29:49 PM PST by ExCTCitizen (I'm ExCTCitizen and I approve this reply. If it does offend Libs, I'm NOT sorry...)
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To: Libloather
I've got news for you all. It snows in the winter up north!

Are we going to freak out every time there is a blizzard up north? Are we going to freak out when it snows in Alaska or the North Pole? Are we going to tell Santa not to come if it snows?

Maybe we can wipe out the Constitution of the United States and substitute Climate Change laws because of snow in the winter?

What ever happened to the "Can do" attitude of American? It became afraid of snow jobs.

64 posted on 01/28/2015 6:04:06 AM PST by CptnObvious
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To: Tammy8

Many times when we discover what a family member is/was thinking, it often is not what we thought!

My mother told a story of something that happened when she was young -
Living in New York City (Manhattan) at the time, during an electrical storm in the summer, a ball of lightening danced in one apartment window, and out the other!
I believe the windows were side by side - not across the room.
In the history of the world, this has most probably happened to many people.

It’s recently that I thought how I neglected to ask my parents to expound on stories I heard as a youngster. I’m thinking this neglect was because I was busy raising my own kids and never thought to ask.


65 posted on 01/28/2015 4:49:07 PM PST by USARightSide (S U P P O R T I N G OUR T R O O P S)
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To: USARightSide

“It’s recently that I thought how I neglected to ask my parents to expound on stories I heard as a youngster. I’m thinking this neglect was because I was busy raising my own kids and never thought to ask.”

God,can I identify with that.

I have so many unanswered questions.

.


66 posted on 01/28/2015 4:51:31 PM PST by Mears (awesome.)
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To: Libloather

How long until someone blames the bad forecast on global warming?


67 posted on 01/28/2015 4:54:29 PM PST by Fzob (Jesus + anything = nothing, Jesus + nothing = everything)
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To: USARightSide
It’s recently that I thought how I neglected to ask my parents to expound on stories I heard as a youngster. I’m thinking this neglect was because I was busy raising my own kids and never thought to ask.

I have the same regrets!

68 posted on 01/28/2015 5:11:51 PM PST by Tammy8
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To: USARightSide

Yikes on the lightening in and out the windows! A transformer was hit on an overhead power line right by my house once and sparks shot out of the plug-ins. Really scary and fried all electrical things that were plugged in. That was before we had surge protectors. I had no idea that could happen until it did. I am sure the lightening in and out the windows had the same effect on your mom and whoever else saw it.


69 posted on 01/28/2015 5:16:31 PM PST by Tammy8
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