Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: M Kehoe; Joe 6-pack; jmacusa

I did a few reforgers myself.
We don’t need the reforgers like we used to, but with all the global action, war, and troops/units/equipment/logistics that we have moving under difficult circumstances since 9/11, I would guess that we still know how to move troops and equipment.

This time if we needed to deliver to Europe we would easily control the sea and air, under Reagan we expected to suffer massive losses during transport, a large percentage of us would never have reached Europe.

“According to the International Institute of Strategic Studies’ “Military Balance” publication — a widely-used and well-respected unclassified compendium of information about the world’s armed forces — in 1989, just before the collapse of the Warsaw Pact, the Soviet Union deployed a total of 64 divisions in what was then known as its “Western Theater of Military Operations.” These are the Russian forces that would have been hurled at NATO in an attack on Western Europe. They would have been reinforced by another 700,000 troops from the USSR’s three frontline Warsaw Pact allies, East Germany, Czechoslovakia, and Poland. In all, more than 100 divisions would have been available for a drive into West Germany and beyond. The six countries committed to defending NATO’s front lines — West Germany, the United States, Great Britain, Canada, Belgium and the Netherlands — meanwhile deployed only 21 or so divisions in Germany. While NATO divisions were generally somewhat larger than their Warsaw Pact counterparts and reinforcement would have been forthcoming from the United States, the disparity along the East-West frontier was nonetheless huge.

Consider the situation today. East Germany no longer exists, while Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia and every one of Russia’s other erstwhile Warsaw Pact partners are now members of NATO. So are Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania, which in 1989 were parts of the Soviet Union itself. In 1989, the Red Army had almost a half-million troops and 27 maneuver divisions (plus enormous quantities of artillery and other units) on the territory of its three main allies. Today, it has a total of seven divisions in its entire Western Military District, all of which are based on its own territory. Indeed, the entire Russian army today boasts about 25 divisions, fewer than it had forward deployed in its Eastern European allies during the waning days of the Cold War.

Today, Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, and Germany alone field more divisions than Russia has in its Western Military District. These countries are backstopped by the rest of NATO, including, of course, the United States. And this raw count doesn’t take into account the general deterioration of Russian forces since 1991, a quarter-century that saw little equipment modernization. By the late 1980s, NATO already enjoyed a significant qualitative advantage over the Warsaw Pact, and that edge has only increased since then.

There are questions about the future of NATO’s defense posture. Budget reductions among the European militaries are reducing their ability to conduct high-intensity armored combat. After 13 years of counter-insurgency in Iraq and Afghanistan, the U.S. military must relearn the art of conventional warfare, and spending cuts improvidently executed could hamper America’s ability to respond rapidly and effectively to a crisis along the alliance’s border with Russia. There are no guarantees in international security. But whatever weaknesses NATO may possess must be assessed in context with the severe limitations of Russian military power.

Yes, the United States has many fewer forces in Europe than it did in 1989. But Russia has none, its allies have all switched sides, and its military is but a shadow of what it was 25 years ago.”


71 posted on 02/28/2015 9:07:40 AM PST by ansel12 (Palin--Mr President, the only thing that stops a bad guy with a nuke is a good guy with a nuke.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 70 | View Replies ]


To: ansel12
A well thought out essay. One reason Ivan's defense minister was talking tactical nukes last month.

Methinks the Bear no longer hibernates.

5.56mm

72 posted on 02/28/2015 9:19:40 AM PST by M Kehoe
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 71 | View Replies ]

To: ansel12
Don't forget that the Poles beat the Soviets in the Polish-Soviet War of 1919-21 forcing the Soviets to sue for peace. I question German resolve and military prowess, but have no doubts about the Poles or the Baltic states, the first three nations to break away from the USSR. Putin would be sadly mistaken if he were to attempt an invasion beyond Ukraine.
75 posted on 02/28/2015 9:39:35 AM PST by Wallace T.
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 71 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson