Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Why China Will Lose the War It is Planning
American Thinker ^ | 03/12/2015 | David Archibald

Posted on 03/12/2015 7:07:15 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

How do we know the war is coming in the first place? Because the advertising for it is out. Amongst plenty of other evidence, one Chinese front organisation conducted a poll on Australian attitudes to the ANZUS treaty and a Chinese attack on Japan. Why would they conduct such a poll unless they are going to attack Japan? Not that they were interested in the results as such. They just wanted to be able to publicize the poll in order to try to keep Australia on the sidelines of their war.

The war will have two functions for China. Firstly, it will provide legitimacy for the regime as economic growth stalls. Secondly, the Chinese will have pride in humiliating their neighbouring countries, and the United States, by defeating them in battle and creating no-go zones in the oceans which other countries won’t be able to enter without Chinese permission. The war will have nothing to do with oil and gas resources under the seabed and securing sea-lanes. The Chinese have never offered those excuses for their behavior themselves. The excuses are the creation of Western pundits for something that otherwise is stupid, destructive, and primitive.

Some have seen this war coming well in advance. In 2005, Robert Kaplan wrote an article entitled How We Would Fight China. In it he notes that China will approach the war “asymmetrically, as terrorists do. In Iraq the insurgents have shown us the low end of asymmetry, with car bombs. But the Chinese are poised to show us the high end of the art.”

To win the war, China has to seize territory and then hold it against the US/Japanese counterattack. There will be two main theatres of operation -- the Senkaku and Yaeyama island chains in the East China Sea

(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Japan; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: china; japan; war
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-31 next last

1 posted on 03/12/2015 7:07:15 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Time to pull out the “Rape of Nanking” to get a good understanding of how the Chinese will see this as payback.

I cannot say that I blame them too much.

I bet we sit this out.

Or is this why we are not getting entangled with ISIS...we can only be one place at a time now.


2 posted on 03/12/2015 7:16:14 AM PDT by Vermont Lt (When you are inclined to to buy storage boxes, but contractor bags instead.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
What if you don’t like the idea of the US being involved in a war with China? Well stop buying anything made in China. The US takes 17% of China’s exports and if that dried up, the Chinese economy would shrink by 4.5%. The social dislocation that would cause might be enough to topple the warhawk who is driving the Chinese aggression Read more: http://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2015/03/why_china_will_lose_the_war_it_is_planning.html#ixzz3UBJBPseK Follow us: @AmericanThinker on Twitter | AmericanThinker on Facebook

Actually, that action, if it happened, might be the trigger that would cause the war. They would have no choice, just as Japan in 1941.

3 posted on 03/12/2015 7:24:47 AM PDT by expat2
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Vermont Lt
This war will have more to do with the Chinese version of manifest destiny than payback.

Their reasons for going to war will be remarkably similar to those of the Japanese 80 years ago.

4 posted on 03/12/2015 7:24:52 AM PDT by skeeter
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

PRC, just like Putin’s sabre rattling has more to do with internal generation of support for a regime no longer in good favor.

That does not mean the PRC will not attack these speck-o-islands.

If and once we get a responsible POTUS, they will not confront us. If anything, the Chinese understand history.


5 posted on 03/12/2015 7:25:04 AM PDT by X-spurt (CRUZ missile - armed and ready.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Vermont Lt

For many years I’ve predicted various world aggressors would, while otherwise disinterested in each other’s plans, tacitly coordinate their large-scale plans to coincide as to overwhelm the USA’s ability to respond.


6 posted on 03/12/2015 7:25:40 AM PDT by ctdonath2 (Si vis pacem, para bellum.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

If the Chinese cowardly attack like this, they’ll lose and lose big.


7 posted on 03/12/2015 7:27:21 AM PDT by Monty22002
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: X-spurt

Starting right now, world aggressors have one year to take advantage of a very weak POTUS. At the end of that year, they need spend the remainder of the term completing and cementing their positions such that a new strong POTUS cannot do anything about it.


8 posted on 03/12/2015 7:28:43 AM PDT by ctdonath2 (Si vis pacem, para bellum.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: skeeter

Lebensraum with pork and snow peas.


9 posted on 03/12/2015 7:33:44 AM PDT by SpaceBar
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

The author lost me at “firstly”, and with “secondly” he twisted the knife. :O


10 posted on 03/12/2015 7:46:33 AM PDT by The Duke
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
The first casualty of a war with the ChiComs would be the end of "Free Trade" and MFN. A good thing. Then we can round up all of our "Free traitors" and hang them from telephone poles.

I will LOL when the ChiComs grab all of the USA manufacturing facilities in the name of the people and give US companies a "So Solly Charlie". Would be so good.

11 posted on 03/12/2015 7:54:25 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: central_va

If China did that, they can forget redeeming those Treasury notes.


12 posted on 03/12/2015 7:58:10 AM PDT by SeaHawkFan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: SeaHawkFan
f China did that, they can forget redeeming those Treasury notes.

Another plus!

13 posted on 03/12/2015 7:58:46 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: Vermont Lt

“Or is this why we are not getting entangled with ISIS...we can only be one place at a time now”

Yeah, that’s the ticket! Obama is brilliant.


14 posted on 03/12/2015 8:09:07 AM PDT by Blue Collar Christian (Ready for Teddy. Cruz, that is. Texas conservative.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Gosh. A war with China. Maybe we can send in the Food Stamp Division followed closely by the Illegal Division and then send the Obamacare Division in on the right flank.


15 posted on 03/12/2015 8:25:42 AM PDT by blueunicorn6 ("A crack shot and a good dancer")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: central_va
The first casualty of a war with the ChiComs would be the end of "Free Trade".

The second casualty will come as we stop paying on our debt. Without that constant inflow of cash they can't survive more than 60 days.

I don't see any upside for the ChiComs to start a shooting war when they can just buy whatever they really want.

16 posted on 03/12/2015 8:32:06 AM PDT by usurper (Liberals GET OFF MY LAWN)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: central_va

Tangible assets to replace the loss of worthless pieces of paper? I think China would get the better of that exchange.


17 posted on 03/12/2015 8:46:17 AM PDT by PTBAA
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

At one time it was a certainty that we would oppose China if they were to attack Japan or Taiwan. Especially with an Obama or Clinton (or certain Repubs) in the White House, I don’t think its obvious at all we would oppose them. We might make impassioned speeches and move aircraft carriers around the Pacific, but actually pull the trigger and send Chinese boats and planes to the bottom, no.

They have already put us on notice that opposing them might cost us Los Angeles. And I believe a good percentage of American politicians have been coopted by the Chinese in any case.

But we should not be passive in the face of a Chinese push. They see their natural outer border as Guam.


18 posted on 03/12/2015 9:21:13 AM PDT by marron
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Why China Will Lose the War It is Planning.

NOT WITH OUR PRESIDENT.


19 posted on 03/12/2015 9:30:43 AM PDT by Vaduz
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Big assumption: US/Japanese counterattack.

Japanese counterattack? Sure.

The Japanese aren’t stupid. If they aren’t ready for this, shame on them. I know how they feel about being Japanese, and about their homeland.

They may love the ‘Pease Constitution’, but they don’t live in windowless rooms. These folks live in a society that accepts that plans are made 100 years out. Families sign 100 year mortgages.

If you’re China, you’d better be ready. A single carrier isn’t going to get the job done either. Chinese amphibious capability is still not what it needs to be get it done either.

Would Japan use a nuke? Why not? It worked on them. Nobody adapts to new methods, techniques, and technologies more pridelessly than the Japanese. Any new idea, no matter where it comes from, is something they’ll adopt.


20 posted on 03/12/2015 9:38:52 AM PDT by RinaseaofDs
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-31 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson