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The Scott Walker boomlet is fading: Cruz now polls competitively with Walker
Hotair ^ | 04/06/2015 | Noah Rothman

Posted on 04/06/2015 1:40:39 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

It was only weeks ago that Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker emerged as a prospective 2016 Republican presidential candidate who might be best positioned to unite a fractious GOP. Walker’s ostensive ability to appeal to both the Republican Party’s tea party wing and the coastal “establishment” faction indicated that Walker might enter the primary field a prohibitive favorite. Some speculated that he could run as strong a campaign in Iowa as he would run in New Hampshire. What looked like an open field for the GOP ahead of 2016 suddenly began to appear virtually closed.

Polls of the national GOP primary electorate – an admittedly fictitious animal — still indicate that Walker enjoys Jeb Bush levels of support from Republican voters, but that backing has begun to ebb as voters learn more about the Wisconsin governor. The Washington Examiner’s Byron York noted that there is probably a correlation between Walker’s lack of name recognition among Republicans and his relatively high levels of support.

For a candidate who starts out with little national recognition, a campaign is a long process of telling voters who he is. With the general public — and all three polls cited above were of the public, not just Republicans — Walker is still a mystery for a large number of people. Even some Republicans who know of Walker and like him base their opinion on what they know about Walker’s stand against public-sector unions in Wisconsin, and little beyond that. Despite all the attention the media has paid to the campaign so far, Walker is still starting out when it comes to explaining to voters who he is and why he’s running.

And while Walker is defining himself for the Republican electorate, other candidates who have already established their brand are surging.

According to the results of a Monmouth University survey of the national GOP electorate, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) now polls competitively with Walker at 11 percent support each. In that survey, Jeb Bush maintains a nominal lead at 13 percent.

What’s more, Cruz and Walker have similar favorability ratings among GOP voters. Monmouth found 49 percent of the Republican electorate views Cruz favorability while 44 percent have a similar opinion of Walker.

While Monmouth noted that Walker continues to enjoy a significant amount of support from conservatives and his favorability ratings have markedly increased in recent months, “nearly half of Republican voters in the country don’t know enough about him yet to form an opinion.”

But the most interesting finding in this Monmouth survey came when the pollsters narrowed the field to just Cruz and Walker. In a head-to-head matchup, Republican voters backed Cruz over Walker at 41 to 36 percent.

The Scott Walker boomlet that characterized the early months of 2015 has not entirely dissipated, but the surge of support for Ted Cruz that accompanied his presidential announcement has elevated him to the top tier of 2016 candidates. According to this poll, Cruz at least has the capacity at this stage of the race to unseat Walker as the singular anti-Bush.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016; scottwalker; tedcruz
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To: SeekAndFind

I don’t fully trust Walker, so Cruz is my first choice. However, I don’t have a second choice I trust who is likely to run. Walker is definitely my #2, and I hope people won’t attack him. Build Cruz up instead of tearing Walker down.


21 posted on 04/06/2015 2:02:05 PM PDT by Pollster1 ("Shall not be infringed" is unambiguous.)
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To: SeekAndFind

name recognition is the name of the game these days and Walker has had more time to develop his name recognition.


22 posted on 04/06/2015 2:03:22 PM PDT by RC one (Militarized law enforcement is just a politically correct way of saying martial law enforcement.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I like Scott Walker. I like Ted Cruz. I think either one would make a much better President then anyone else currently out there, and far superior to what we have. We as Conservatives we should refrain from denigrating a fellow conservative because we happen to like another candidate. Sing the praises of the one you like by all means, but don’t bash the other. The Dem-Marxist’s feed on that.


23 posted on 04/06/2015 2:04:24 PM PDT by MCF (If my home can't be my Castle, then it will be my Alamo.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Walker for governor of Wisconsin received much establishment help.
For national office, he should count on nil.


24 posted on 04/06/2015 2:05:03 PM PDT by right way right
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To: Socon-Econ

I’m not as keen on ethanol as I am on amnesty and RFRA; but given that Iowa has gone DemocRAT in 5 of the last 6 presidential elections, I wouldn’t be terribly sympathetic toward it were I a Republican candidate.


25 posted on 04/06/2015 2:06:01 PM PDT by Arm_Bears (Rope. Tree. Politician. Some assembly required.)
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To: Arm_Bears

Walker’s sellout at the Iowa Ag Summit and the Liz Mair fiasco are what broke the deal for me.

Go Cruz!


26 posted on 04/06/2015 2:06:28 PM PDT by Josh Painter ("Constantly choosing the lesser of two evils is still choosing evil." - Jerry Garcia)
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To: right way right

NOT BUSH!!!
Here are my choices:

Walker and/or Cruz either order Prez/VP


27 posted on 04/06/2015 2:06:42 PM PDT by princess leah
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To: Pollster1
Correct. There is a certain certified jack@$$ poster who constantly tears down Scott Walker. He will go unmentioned.

Supposedly, he favors Ted Cruz. But I am not going to hold that against Ted Cruz. Cruz still remains my first choice.

But I'd be happy with Scott Walker as well.

28 posted on 04/06/2015 2:07:36 PM PDT by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: dowcaet

” I want to see these guys debate throughout the summer and fall...”

Oh please NO!!! I dont think we can take another 4000 debates.


29 posted on 04/06/2015 2:09:52 PM PDT by VanDeKoik
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To: Arm_Bears

It wasn’t so much his stand on ethanol that was the problem, so much as how he handled it. He flipped on the issue right before the Iowa Ag Summit just to pander to local farmers.

It hints at a character problem.


30 posted on 04/06/2015 2:10:48 PM PDT by Josh Painter ("Constantly choosing the lesser of two evils is still choosing evil." - Jerry Garcia)
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To: House Atreides

To me he has demonstrated quite clearly that he is not a leader.

I do not see him attempting to lead or demonstrating leadership qualities on anything at all.

And by having a closed door meeting with the chamber of commerce, he has demonstrated that he is a politician.

AT this point I am not able to trust him, and I am further unable to see what leadership qualities he has that would make me want to vote for him as president.


31 posted on 04/06/2015 2:11:55 PM PDT by chris37 (Heartless)
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To: MCF

Agree!


32 posted on 04/06/2015 2:14:51 PM PDT by Girlene
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To: MCF

How was a “ping” to several people “denigrating” or “bashing” Scott Walker or anyone else? Do you think I work at Hot Air?


33 posted on 04/06/2015 2:16:10 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You can help: https://www.tedcruz.org/donate/)
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To: Girlene

See my #33.


34 posted on 04/06/2015 2:16:42 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You can help: https://www.tedcruz.org/donate/)
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To: SeekAndFind

It will be interesting to see what impact the Paul announcement will have on tomorrow’s polling numbers. I don’t like him for POTUS, but one has to wonder if it will chip away at Cruz’s lead.


35 posted on 04/06/2015 2:17:26 PM PDT by erod (Chicago Conservative)
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To: MCF

I like Scott Walker. I like Ted Cruz. I think either one would make a much better President then anyone else currently out there, and far superior to what we have. We as Conservatives we should refrain from denigrating a fellow conservative because we happen to like another candidate. Sing the praises of the one you like by all means, but don’t bash the other. The Dem-Marxist’s feed on that.

************

Good point. A choice between Walker and Cruz would make me wonder if I had been transported to a different planet.


36 posted on 04/06/2015 2:17:40 PM PDT by Socon-Econ
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To: VanDeKoik
” I want to see these guys debate throughout the summer and fall...”

Oh please NO!!! I dont think we can take another 4000 debates.
*****************************************************************************************************
I agree!! It's particularly painful when they have a huge number of “candidates” spread across the stage looking, in a panoramic view, like an assemblage of midgets.

37 posted on 04/06/2015 2:17:56 PM PDT by House Atreides (CRUZ or lose!)
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To: newfreep
I see Ted going the distance!

Let's hope so. From your lips to God's ear.

38 posted on 04/06/2015 2:18:55 PM PDT by VideoDoctor
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To: SeekAndFind

Cruz has been in the race for a little while....Walker (future candidate) hasn’t announced yet. Governors are people who make policy, advance an agenda, control their state National-guard, govern the state police, control the state school system.......senators vote on things that other people do.


39 posted on 04/06/2015 2:19:49 PM PDT by terycarl (common sense prevails over all)
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To: VanDeKoik; dowcaet

Ted Cruz was the North American debating champion in both categories and the Princeton annual novice championship is named in his honor. Cruz was also a semi-finalist at the 1995 World Universities Debating Championship, making him Princeton’s highest-ranked debater at the championship.


40 posted on 04/06/2015 2:21:08 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You can help: https://www.tedcruz.org/donate/)
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