they would start fighting each other.
Let's look at the following maps
First, the dispersal of Sunnis and Shias and the various groupings of them
25% of Saudi citizens are Shia - twelvers or Zayyidi or Ismaili
Now the Twelvers are the majority in the oil based provinces. And the Ismailis despise the Saudis for having bulldozed the graves of the early Caliphs and of Mohammad's wife Aisha -- they even wanted to destroy the grave of Mohammad. This also pissed off the Sufi school of Sunnis -- these revere "saints" -- whose tombs were destroyed by Wahabbis
you overlay this with the various tribes and clans etc.
And you see that the arabs would be just as they were before Lawrence of Arabia came and united them (remembe the movie when lawrence says "if the Arabs do not unite they will always be a divided and weak people")
So, DoughtyOne, if there is no Saudi king, expect a group of various emirates springing up -- some Sunni hanafi, some Sunni Wahabbi, sone Sufi-Sunni, Some Ismaili, some zayyidi, some Twelver shia and even some Ibadi in the east (or they would join with Oman)
Nice post with your graphics and all.
What’s your take on the stability of this situation, in-fighting and all?
Would there be endless turmoil?