Your numbers are probably correct and this is what kills us. The 'Rats don't have to spend a dime, probably don't even have to campaign in, and they'll still have CA, NY, IL, MN, MA, PA, MD, RI, VT, CT, DE, OR, WA, HI, and probably NM, NV, MI, and WI. No one who is leaning towards or committed to Hillary will care about her scandals and other shortcomings. The female parts trumps those. Unless we get someone with national recognition and broad-based appeal, the numbers just aren't there. I'd love to be wrong about that come election night, but it sure looks like an uphill slog at this point.
Keep that list in mind next time someone is promoting the convention of states solution.