I can think of lots of flame outs, but none so charismatic, nor so well funded.
I'm now giving him 50/50, I don't necessarily like my assessment, he's not my first or second choice, although he might have crept into third (that's my tri-polarism speaking). I'm just trying to come to grips with my 50/50 assessment, cognitive dissonance is a powerful force........
Reagan’s first run was 76, and he was not wire to wire at all...so that comparison is not really valid because Reagan 80 was clearly extension of his 76 Campaign.
And W was far more establishment than not. Like I said, an establishment candidate can go wire to wire...in or close to the lead. An insurgent cannot. But 80, Reagan was no insurgent. He was clearly that in 76.
I’m giving it 5/95.