These are labels that pollsters, pundits and consultants put on demographic groups but that does not mean that these experts can not come pretty darn close to predicting precinct by precinct how these people will vote and, as you point out, whether they will vote at all.
I agree with you they will jump up and vote if they feel it is a matter of survival or if they are emotionally moved by a candidate. And, yes, I believe that the numbers could be moved dramatically if the stars align and Joe sixpack can somehow be energized. There is a proviso, however, there is a kind of law of equal and opposite reaction meaning that if the conservative base is energized that might also energize the leftist base. This pushback becomes more acute a problem when race is introduced. I try to point out that it's also a problem when gender is considered, for example, what excites me as a crusty, curmudgeonly, disputatious male conservative might turn off a female voter and I will never understand why.
Anyway, we are at the end game with the border a sieve, the economy a creature of the Fed, our debts mounting out of control, our enemies emboldened, our national consensus disintegrating, our Constitution abandoned, our political leaders sold out, it appears that our last chance is at hand. This is not the time to navel gaze but to "attack, repeat, attack!"
