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Hurricane Joaquin
Wunderground/Noaa ^ | 9/30/2015

Posted on 09/30/2015 4:52:38 AM PDT by dirtboy

Just upgraded at 8am advisory.



TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: florida; hurricane; joaquin
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Comment #21 Removed by Moderator

To: Tucker39
In order to come up the coast it would have to nearly REVERSE from its current track.

Hurricanes make sudden turns all the time. There is a front that is forecast to stall along the east coast this week that will pull the hurricane north - the question becomes when and in exactly what direction?

22 posted on 09/30/2015 5:49:50 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: dirtboy

And the global warming alarmists will be cheering Joaquin on hoping it hits landfall somewhere near NYC causing as much damage as possible. We have to push the agenda doncha know


23 posted on 09/30/2015 5:50:52 AM PDT by PaulZe
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To: Tucker39

Weather Channel just said currently it is headed SW but expected to turn back. My daughter and I are going to eastern NC this weekend for her friend’s one year birthday. Not really looking to ride out a storm, though being from South Florida, I am fascinated by hurricanes.


24 posted on 09/30/2015 5:51:58 AM PDT by ilovesarah2012
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To: Tucker39

Why don’t you PLEASE learn something about how hurricanes are notorious for sudden turns? Sandy made a 90 degree turn into the Jersey Shore. And there is plenty of forecast evidence that a trough will pick up this storm. Has nothing to do with climate change dogma.


25 posted on 09/30/2015 5:52:41 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: Tucker39

You are absolutely correct. They have that hurricane turning on a dime a full 90 degrees plus to head north.

I have never seen that before.

They really must want to stimulate emergency sales in the heavily populated northwest to boost the economic numbers or something for a few days.

Then when reality hits, they’ll still get their Florida type sales bump.


26 posted on 09/30/2015 5:53:30 AM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! True Supporters of our Troops PRAY for their Victory!)
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To: Tucker39
Don't be too sure of that. Hurricanes can and do take strange paths.


27 posted on 09/30/2015 5:54:22 AM PDT by Fresh Wind (Falcon 105)
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To: Tucker39
To hit the US coast it would have to do a 120° right turn.

***************

A right turn is pretty much what the models are predicting it to do in the next day or so.


28 posted on 09/30/2015 5:54:50 AM PDT by deport
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To: Fresh Wind

What are you doing out in the Pacific?! We’re discussing THIS storm, in the Atlantic, on a SW track, at 6 mph, and nothing remotely in sight to make it do a U-turn .


29 posted on 09/30/2015 5:58:25 AM PDT by Tucker39 (Welcome to America! Now speak English; and keep to the right....In driving, in Faith, and politics.)
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To: Tucker39
You want Atlantic? Hurricane Jeanne, 2004, same area. Please, if you knew anything about hurricane history, you would not be making these absurd claims.


30 posted on 09/30/2015 6:01:21 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: Tucker39

You’re welcome to keep your head in the sand, if that makes you happy.


31 posted on 09/30/2015 6:02:12 AM PDT by Fresh Wind (Falcon 105)
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To: dirtboy

http://flhurricane.com/
7:45AM EDT Update 30 September 2015
Based on a recon report of 971 mb, Joaquin has been upgraded to a category 1 hurricane. The forecast track is very uncertain, and relies on how far west and south the system goes. It is forecast to near the central Bahamas then turn late Friday. Beyond that, anyone along the east coast should be paying attention.


http://flhurricane.com/cyclone/showflat.php?Number=95971&gonew=1#UNREAD
Re: TS Joaquin Lounge [Re: MikeC]
#96001 - Wed Sep 30 2015 07:24 AM

0z Euro maintains the earlier idea of going into the Central Bahamas briefly then bouncing northeast out to sea. Euro ensembles also shift east, but most still have a us impact. The possibly phantom low being created off the carolina coast seems to be why the operational Euro kicks the system off to the northeast.

6z GFS closes Central Bahamas approach Friday early morning hours. Landfall Cape Hatteras Sunday morning closer to noon as a major hurricane. so a slight shift south from the earlier run.

In short, models still aren’t much help in this setup. It all really depends on how far west/south Joaquin gets. The entire east coast needs to watch, and the mid-Atlantic in particular.


32 posted on 09/30/2015 6:02:52 AM PDT by No One Special
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To: Tucker39
Hurricane Opal, 1995 - over a 120 degree sudden turn - that's what happens when a trough picks up a hurricane:


33 posted on 09/30/2015 6:11:36 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: dirtboy

bkmk


34 posted on 09/30/2015 6:12:29 AM PDT by novemberslady
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To: Tucker39
>>>Those models are wishful thinking by. The data right there in the chart says the track is SOUTHWEST at 6mph. That will take it across Cuba. To hit the US coast it would have to do a 120° right turn.

You are either being very sarcastic...or you know absolutely nothing about hurricanes.

I'll bet you my house vs your $1000 that it will not go across Cuba and that it will reverse course.

Hurricanes NEVER travel in a straight line....and reversing course...well...that happens all the time. You must like in Washington state or something and have never tracked them.

35 posted on 09/30/2015 6:15:47 AM PDT by NELSON111
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To: deport

“right turn, Clyde”


36 posted on 09/30/2015 6:16:21 AM PDT by NonValueAdded (In a Time of Universal Deceit, Telling the Truth Is a Revolutionary Act)
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To: No One Special
Current model runs - Euro is the black line:


37 posted on 09/30/2015 6:16:59 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: dirtboy

Jeanne, the roof eater


38 posted on 09/30/2015 6:17:07 AM PDT by NonValueAdded (In a Time of Universal Deceit, Telling the Truth Is a Revolutionary Act)
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To: dirtboy
Sandy made a 90 degree turn into the Jersey Shore

Everyone laughed at me when I tried to warn them.

The same people also made fun of my 30 gas cans that were in the shed filled...
39 posted on 09/30/2015 6:18:08 AM PDT by novemberslady
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To: xzins
>>>I have never seen that before

Really? You've never seen that? Then you don't watch hurricanes. I've been a meteorologist for 28 years...and it happens a LOT. Look at the track from Sandy in 2012. That is a 90 degree turn back to the left. There are so many examples of this happening that it would fill the page....which means you probably don't know as much about hurricanes as you think you do...or don't track them as much as you think you do ;-)

40 posted on 09/30/2015 6:20:35 AM PDT by NELSON111
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