That is exactly what will happen. The upper atmosphere steering currents are trying to get the storm to head North but there is a high pressure area over the Atlantic that is keeping Joaquin from escaping.
Once that moves off East, the storm will be pulled Northward as the models suggest. To get to the Gulf, the Jet Stream would have to reverse course. And that is 1000 times less likely than Joaquin doing so.
This one reply is to all the superior PhDs that have spoken from Mt. Sinai. I own a property in Ocean City, MD., although I am not there now. I have been checking everything possible to get a bead on the storm’s direction. I drew my conclusion from:
A. Its current track is SW.
B. The local TV weather departments, the last I checked, are NOT hyping the storm as coming up the coast within the next 5 days. Rain, yes. Some wind, yes. Hurricaine, no.
If it turns out that y’all are right and I’m wrong, don’t celebrate too much, ‘cause you ain’t gettin’ no virgin. I’ve been wrong so many times in my days, it’s exhausting to think about it.
OTOH, I’ve seen so many forecasts turn out to be fizzles that they’re almost legend. I guess what we have here is a Mexican standoff. So all I can do is hide and watch and hope everyone comes through it unscathed.