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[October 2, 2015] Donald Trump Falls: Ben Carson Surges To Lead In Poll
IBD ^ | October 2, 2015 | BY JOHN MERLINE

Posted on 10/05/2015 8:48:37 PM PDT by Mariner

Donald Trump has boasted that he's "leading every poll and in most cases big." Not anymore. The latest IBD/TIPP Poll shows him in second place, seven points behind Ben Carson.

The nationwide survey found that 24% of Republicans back Carson, compared with 17% who say they support Trump.

Marco Rubio came in third with 11% and Carly Fiorina fourth at 9%. Jeb Bush, once considered a prohibitive favorite, ranked fifth with just 8% support, which was a point lower than those who say they are still undecided.

The IBD/TIPP Poll has a proven track record for accuracy, based on its performance in the past three presidential elections. In a comparison of the final results of various pollsters for the 2004 and 2008 elections, IBD/TIPP was the most accurate. And the New York Times concluded that IBD/TIPP was the most accurate among 23 polls over the three weeks leading up to the 2012 election.

(Excerpt) Read more at news.investors.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: California; US: Florida; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 2016election; bencarson; california; carlyfiorina; election2016; florida; jebbush; marcorubio; newyork; trump
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To: aimhigh

What would be fun about a Carson win, would be calling liberals racists everytime they opposed Carson’s policies.


Is it fun when you have differing opinions than Obama or any black person(or half black)...and you are called a racist? Really?


21 posted on 10/05/2015 9:11:06 PM PDT by chasio649 (The GOPe can never seem to remember who brought them to the dance)
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To: Mariner
yeah, right...

22 posted on 10/05/2015 9:16:08 PM PDT by Chode (Stand UP and Be Counted, or line up and be numbered - *DTOM* -w- NO Pity for the LAZY)
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To: Mariner

Zzzzzzzzzzzzzz..............


23 posted on 10/05/2015 9:16:11 PM PDT by ripnbang ("An armed man is a citizen, an unarmed man a subject")
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To: Mariner
The IBD/TIPP Poll has a proven track record for accuracy, based on its performance in the past three presidential elections. In a comparison of the final results of various pollsters for the 2004 and 2008 elections, IBD/TIPP was the most accurate. And the New York Times concluded that IBD/TIPP was the most accurate among 23 polls over the three weeks leading up to the 2012 election.

It's a bit more than 3 weeks until the election now, isn't it? Wasn't Hillary still a shoo-in at this point in 2007?

24 posted on 10/05/2015 9:22:54 PM PDT by Sooth2222 ("In a democracy people get the leaders they deserve." - Joseph de Maistre, 1753-1821)
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To: Mariner

Our sense is that Trump and Cruz and Carson are respected. And in that order of preference right now. Any of them could get the nomination. Probably not most of the others. But who knows - it’s a long time yet. My idea - if any trouble of the above three were to team up — ??


25 posted on 10/05/2015 9:29:18 PM PDT by faithhopecharity (Brilliant, funny, and incisive Tagline coming to this space soon.....)
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To: Mariner

If anyone thinks that Carson is in the lead —anywhere— then can I tell you about this great business deal I have?


26 posted on 10/05/2015 9:30:57 PM PDT by Reno89519 (American Lives Matter! US Citizen, Veteran, Conservative, Republican. I vote. Trump 2016.)
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To: Mariner

polled 377? That’s less than 8 people per state.


27 posted on 10/05/2015 9:33:13 PM PDT by kik5150
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To: Mariner

Mr. Carson is a fine guy, but what would the reason be for a rise in the polls?

IMO, they ask Democrats who say they are Republican.


28 posted on 10/05/2015 9:33:16 PM PDT by A CA Guy ( God Bless America, God Bless and keep safe our fighting men and women.)
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To: Mariner

Bleachblonde on Murdochworld was almost in orgasm over the polls. Couldn’t tell whether she were on her knees as I turned it off.


29 posted on 10/05/2015 9:36:38 PM PDT by BigEdLB (Congress will have blood on their hands if anything happens because of the Iran appeasement)
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To: Sooth2222

The last poll of IBD was not as accurate as Pew. What does the current pew poll say?


30 posted on 10/05/2015 9:38:34 PM PDT by BigEdLB (Congress will have blood on their hands if anything happens because of the Iran appeasement)
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To: Mariner

With numbers this low, even for the frontrunner, movements just within the margin of error can look like surges or slides in support. For example, Trump ranges from 25 to 30 points in most polls. The margin of error of +/- 5 can look like a slide or surge in support even for him, let alone everyone else. Therefore, it is really difficult to even be able to measure trends with this many candidates with their support his low.


31 posted on 10/05/2015 9:40:36 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: Sooth2222

You know when a pollster is spreading Bandini when they tell you how ‘accurate’ they are, especially when the facts question that accuracy.


32 posted on 10/05/2015 9:42:05 PM PDT by BigEdLB (Congress will have blood on their hands if anything happens because of the Iran appeasement)
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To: Mariner

This is not front page news. This article has already been posted multiple times, and you’ve deliberately lied about the date of the article when you posted it to make it look like news.

It needs to be nuked.


33 posted on 10/05/2015 9:49:19 PM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: catnipman
I didn't lie. It was a mistake.

I probably should have added the keyword: humor.

34 posted on 10/05/2015 9:54:26 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18 - Be The Leaderless Resistance)
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To: P-Marlowe; All

As a side note to this thread please consider the following.

No president can get rid of activist justices. So it’s up to patriots to elect a non-RINO, conservative House majority, and a 2/3 non-RINO conservative Senate supermajority in the 2016 elections so that Congress can start removing Constitution-ignoring justices from the bench.


35 posted on 10/05/2015 10:05:36 PM PDT by Amendment10
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To: haircutter

Two things about Trump..First I think he may be the only one of the bunch that can actually turn this country around...second he cant do it alone and he needs support in congress/public which at this point doesnt seem even close to possible. Time will tell.


36 posted on 10/05/2015 11:01:36 PM PDT by rrrod (Jhttp://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/3343827/reply?c=1ust an old guy with a gun in his pocket.)
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To: BlueNgold

I know two Carson supporters. My dad and a neighbor down the street. So much for your comment. You must know a very narrow group of people.


37 posted on 10/05/2015 11:02:55 PM PDT by Dave W
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To: AAABEST

Exactly right, IBD is part of the cabal. Wall Street, Chamber of Commerce and Common Core. Wall Street doesn’t like Trump because he is going to give the street back to the people:)


38 posted on 10/06/2015 3:53:09 AM PDT by Hanna548 (s)
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To: haircutter

TRUMP TRUMP all the way:))


39 posted on 10/06/2015 3:54:02 AM PDT by Hanna548 (s)
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To: Mariner

sorry. there’s been so much BS and tin-foil-hat stuff posted here lately my ire is overly sensitive.


40 posted on 10/06/2015 8:56:56 AM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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