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Ted Cruz. Ted Cruz? Ted Cruz! (Nate Silver's Site)
NYTimes (FiveThirtyEight) ^ | 10/16/15 | Harry Eaton

Posted on 10/16/2015 8:44:47 AM PDT by VinL

I still have many doubts about Ted Cruz’s ability to win the Republican nomination. He has a lot of precedent working against him; as I wrote seven months ago, “Let’s Be Serious About Ted Cruz From The Start: He’s Too Extreme And Too Disliked To Win.” And Cruz has, if anything, become even more hated by his colleagues in Washington, which hurts him tremendously in the all important endorsement primary. He continues to make controversial statements on a range of issues that hurt his viability in a general election.

But I think it’s time to at least walk the headline back a bit.

Why? 1. Republican voters like Ted Cruz … a lot

Cruz isn’t getting a ton of support in horse-race polls. But he’s doing OK — particularly in a 15-candidate field. He is polling fourth in an average of the last three live-interview polls, at 8 percent. That’s higher than he was when he launched his bid, which is impressive given how much oxygen Donald Trump is taking up.

Long term, if voters don’t like you, it doesn’t matter how good your organization is or how much establishment support you have. And Cruz is among the best-liked Republican candidates. In an average of the last three live-interview polls1 in which Republican voters were asked whether they had a favorable or unfavorable impression of at least half the candidates, Cruz ranks fourth (snip)

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: cruz
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As with so many other liberal and establishment analysts, they originally tried to dismiss Cruz outright, but now as Cruz perseveres, they had to cover their bases and report realistically.

Still, as Heidi Cruz recently stated,there remains a media blackout on Ted Cruz. He'll break out when and if that changes.

1 posted on 10/16/2015 8:44:47 AM PDT by VinL
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To: VinL

Ted Cruz will make a great AG and when an opening comes along...USSC Justice.


2 posted on 10/16/2015 8:47:45 AM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: VinL

Agree! Cruz/Palin 2016.

Let the ‘Rats and the LSM get the vapors!


3 posted on 10/16/2015 8:48:13 AM PDT by sauropod (I am His and He is mine.)
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To: Sacajaweau

Ted Cruz will make a great AG and when an opening comes along...USSC Justice.

***************

Amazing how so many tout the incredible versatility and depth of the brilliant Cruz.

Great President...great VP...great attorney general.. great chief justice...great secretary of state.. yes, and on and on.

Just name any modern day candidate who holds the capacity
to credibly serve our country in so many capacities.

If only there were more Ted Cruz’s.


4 posted on 10/16/2015 8:59:33 AM PDT by VinL (It is better to suffer every wrong, then to consent to wrong.)
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To: VinL

““Let’s Be Serious About Ted Cruz From The Start: He’s Too Extreme And Too Disliked To Win.” And Cruz has, if anything, become even more hated by his colleagues in Washington, which hurts him tremendously in the all important endorsement primary.”

This is one of the stupidest statements I have read in a while.

Ted Cruz is not “extreme” unless you mean extremely intelligent and extremely honest.

Ted Cruz is not “disliked”. In spite of being continually attacked by the MSM and establishment Republicans most people like and respect Ted Cruz.

Cruz is not “hated by his colleagues in Washington.” The people who fear him and attack him are not his colleagues. They are a tiny group of corrupt,dishonest Washington insiders and media people who continually attack him.

“He continues to make controversial statements on a range of issues that hurt his viability in a general election.”
Those “controversial statements” are simply Cruz telling the truth


5 posted on 10/16/2015 9:02:44 AM PDT by detective
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To: detective

I think Ted Cuuz can become one of the most effective well liked presidents in history.


6 posted on 10/16/2015 9:15:04 AM PDT by cripplecreek (Pride goes before destruction, and a haughty spirit before a fall.)
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To: VinL

“...Cruz has, if anything, become even more hated by his colleagues in Washington...”
********************************************************************************
That’s a POSITIVE resume highlight and a PREREQUISITE for any Republican presidential candidate IMHO.


7 posted on 10/16/2015 9:16:58 AM PDT by House Atreides (CRUZ or lose! Does TG have to be an ass every day?)
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To: detective

I agree with your comments. Those comments about Cruz are GOPe fluff >IMO.

The problem for me is the idea that Cruz can win primaries based on crossover Democrats, Independents, and “moderate” (Leftist) Republicans voting to select our nominee.

We will need demographic crossover voters in order for someone with our beliefs to win.

Trump seems to have tapped into that.

Cruz won’t be able to.


8 posted on 10/16/2015 9:18:12 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (It's beginning to look like "Morning in America" again. Comment on YouTube under Trump Free Ride.)
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To: DoughtyOne

And those crossover democrats will happily cross right on back over to vote for the democrats in the general election ones they’ve chosen your nominee.


9 posted on 10/16/2015 9:28:05 AM PDT by cripplecreek (Pride goes before destruction, and a haughty spirit before a fall.)
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To: cripplecreek

Bingo:

McCain
Romney

Any questions?

They operate in the background just like the press does in the open.


10 posted on 10/16/2015 9:29:36 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (It's beginning to look like "Morning in America" again. Comment on YouTube under Trump Free Ride.)
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To: sauropod

Cruz/West. Yeah. That’s the ticket!!!


11 posted on 10/16/2015 9:34:27 AM PDT by Mathews (Ecclesiastes 10:2 (NIV), Luke 22:36 (NIV))
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To: Mathews

Werks for me.


12 posted on 10/16/2015 9:41:12 AM PDT by cripplecreek (Pride goes before destruction, and a haughty spirit before a fall.)
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To: VinL

When it comes to GOD, family, country, TED CRUZ leads the pack.

TED CRUZ - For Such a Time As This - 2016


13 posted on 10/16/2015 9:43:24 AM PDT by stars & stripes forever (Blessed is the nation whose God is the Lord.)
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To: VinL

Very good point.


14 posted on 10/16/2015 9:44:10 AM PDT by spetznaz (Nuclear-tipped Ballistic Missiles: The Ultimate Phallic Symbol)
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To: Sacajaweau

Ted Cruz will make a great AG and when an opening comes along...USSC Justice.

Rudy Giuliani will make a terrific AG in the Cruz administration.


15 posted on 10/16/2015 9:51:47 AM PDT by Pirate Ragnar (Libs put feelings first and thought second.)
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To: VinL

The media blackout will end during the budget/spending/debt debate this fall in congress.
The media will try to make him appear horrible to moderates.
That period will make or break his campaign.

How he’s going to convince moderates that the fiscally respo0nsible course is best is beyond me as no one has ever overcome the media to do so before!
But that’s his course and he can’t avoid it.


16 posted on 10/16/2015 9:52:51 AM PDT by mrsmith (Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: stars & stripes forever; VinL

The Trumpoonery-Buffoonery is truly sucking all the oxygen given the airheads in this country. I expect Cruze to break out at some point as the field is culled and we are brought to our senses about the corruption of the Hillary machine and the sheer vapidity of the Trump campaign.


17 posted on 10/16/2015 9:56:44 AM PDT by Steelfish
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To: Steelfish

From your computer to God’s ear!


18 posted on 10/16/2015 10:01:50 AM PDT by basil ( God bless the USA!)
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To: Mathews

Cruz/West would be a great ticket. However, the first thing that they will need to do is COMMUNICATE with the voters. Cruz needs to truly become a uniter, a big tent republican in every sense of the word. The republicans can’t even agree on what time to serve lunch, let alone legislation. They can’t even agree to disagree in order to select a new speaker - we look like fools and will be played as such by the media. We need to put on a unifying face, just like the RATS do, and fool the media. They are the ones who determine more than they should.


19 posted on 10/16/2015 10:05:05 AM PDT by Cyclone59 (Where are we going, and what's with the handbasket?)
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To: 2nd Amendment; 2ndDivisionVet; alstewartfan; altura; aposiopetic; AUTiger83; arderkrag; anymouse; ..
 photo Ted-Cruz-Ping-Donate_TC.png
20 posted on 10/16/2015 10:07:02 AM PDT by erod (Chicago Conservative | Cruz or Lose!)
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