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To: grundle
Rachel Carson surely must have known that cancer is a disease in which the risk goes up as people age. And thanks to vaccines and new antibiotics, Americans in the 1950s were living much longer-long enough to get and die of cancer. In 1900 average life expectancy was 47, and the annual death rate was 1,700 out of 100,000 Americans. By 1960, life expectancy had risen to nearly 70 years, and the annual death rate had fallen to 950 per 100,000 people. Currently, life expectancy is more than 78 years, and the annual death rate is 790 per 100,000 people. Today, although only about 13 percent of Americans are over age 65, they account for 53 percent of new cancer diagnoses and 69 percent of cancer deaths.

Please correct me if I am mistaken, but I've always thought the low life expectancies in past times was due to a much higher infant mortality rate. Once you got to your teens or so you had almost just as much a chance of a long life as today. So I wonder about authors making such arguments.

6 posted on 11/04/2015 6:14:04 AM PST by Moltke
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To: Moltke

The best answer to your question is probably to make a tour of the oldest church graveyards in your area. Infant mortality is no doubt the largest factor but I would say that living to be over eighty is quite common now whereas when I was a small boy eighty was considered very, very old. Some lived to be ninety or even a hundred but that was rare indeed. Many of my aunts and uncles did not make it to 70. I am now 71 and I am about to go to the gym to work out, when it stops raining again I will finish the deck I have been rebuilding which I built almost thirty years ago. When the deck is finished I have a number of trees to cut up with a chain saw. The 71 year olds I knew growing up were mostly worn out and not able to do much of anything except sit in a chair and talk about their pain. I used to go to funerals of people who died in their sixties and hear comments about how they had lived a long, full life, now dying before 70 is considered dying young and soon dying before 80 may be considered dying young.

Remember that one main reason that social security is so underfunded is that it was originally based on the idea that most people would not live to be 65. Then again that could turn out to be the case again for some reason, I don’t make any predictions.


8 posted on 11/04/2015 7:23:21 AM PST by RipSawyer (Racism is racism, regardless of the race of the racist.)
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