[Unmarked Package]

George W. Bush won Iowa in 2000 by 10 points with the backing of evangelical Christian voters over second place finisher Steve Forbes (another businessman). Bush lost NH by a large margin of 18 points (McCain won big in NH in 2000). George W. Bush went on to become the GOP nominee in 2000 and was the eventual winner in the general election.

2016 could be a repeat of the outcome in 2000, especially since there is greater importance early in the primaries on southern states on March 1 (SEC primaries) where Cruz has great organization and is expected to do well.

[Red Steel]

A big difference. Bush was still the favorite in most states, Cruz is the big underdog everywhere else. The bandwagon effect isn’t going to work for Cruz even with the liberal media’s help.

[WOSG]

Correct. George W Bush won by crushing it in South Carolina and then rolling with the ‘mo.

The CRUZ path to victory is similar. Cruz wins Iowa, he places in NH (in 2nd place now and will strengthen if he wins Iowa) ... but then wins in SC and uses that momentum to win in SEC states and go the distance.