Well, there’s one thing wrong about that calculation. Anecdotally, from people I know in several states, the ‘new’ New York residents in flyover country haven’t exactly endeared themselves to their new communities. If I were to bet, I think Cruz’ comment (or at least the way the lefty media has decided to play it) might actually resonate fairly well.
There are good and bad in all groups; natives and late commers.
For example....a whole LOT of people who now live in N.Y. came there from "FLYOVER COUNTRY" and are THE rudest, most liberal, nasty people I have EVER seen.