Posted on 01/20/2016 8:46:10 AM PST by Gandalf the Mauve
There was one race in which Palin appears not to have been much help -- and, in fact, hurt the candidate. According to a 2010 study from researchers at Stanford University, noted by Brendan Nyhan, Palin's presence on the 2008 Republican presidential ticket cost John McCain 1.6 percentage points. In an election in which 131 million people voted, that's 2.1 million votes that McCain should have gotten but didn't....
As the campaign progressed, fewer people said they didn't have an opinion on Palin. And as nearly all of those people formed an opinion on her, that opinion was a negative one. As the researchers put it, "Palin saw a sharp increase in negative evaluations as the fall campaign progressed. Looking at individual-level changes in favorability, we find that 34% of respondents downgraded their evaluations of Palin between September and Election Day, while just 12% became more favorable."...
We're looking at this now in light of Palin's endorsement of Donald Trump, of course, but it's important to set the context properly. We're not suggesting that this study means that Palin will have a deleterious effect on Trump in the primaries. On the contrary, Palin's endorsement likely helps solidify some support for Trump among conservative voters.
Instead, it's worth considering what happened with Palin in light of Trump's candidacy.
The study notes a 2008 Newsweek column which suggested that Palin "sent wavering Democrats, independents and moderate Republicans scurrying to Sen. Barack Obama."...
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
BS It was the only reason i voted for McCain, I can’t say for sure that i would not have voted for McCain or blanked it even though i was pretty confident McCain would loose!
The medias do have a strong effect on how all candidates are seen by the public. We all know there are no rules for the medias where politics are concerned. They did their best to shut Sarah down when they realized how she related to the abidance she appeared before. Even then it was scandalous how Sarah was shut down. To the loss of America in my opinion.
So true. I just saw McCain's chunky spawn on Fox Business saying how poor and unfortunate it was for Sarah to endorse Trump given his slamming McCain early last fall. She was asked if she had been in touch with Palin since the campaign and she said no but she still sees campaign staffers. And that, of course, is the reason for Sarah to go rogue as McCain's staff did what ever they could to torpedo her natural populist instincts when it comes to election campaigning.
It was the other way around. People hoped McCain would croak taking the oath of office.
Half the votes McCain got was because Palin was the running for vice president,
Ive heard hundreds of liberal say they were leaning to mccain but switched to obama after palin was selected...of course its bullchit
This is such horsechit. The only reason I voted for McCain ,as others I know , was Palin.
Well said Captain.
They indeed were baseless, but they were filed as formal ethics complaints. Because at the time Alaska did not defend her financially against these charges, it was up to her to personally pay for lawyers to investigate and rebut the complaints. With the volume of complaints (dozens IIRC) and no financial relief coming, she felt she had to bail to prevent bankrupting her family. Subsequently the AK legislature passed a law that would prevent a repeat of what happened to her financially.
I was watching here in my Dayton office live when McCain announced Palin in Dayton. It was electric.
They indeed were baseless, but they were filed as formal ethics complaints. Because at the time Alaska did not defend her financially against these charges, it was up to her to personally pay for lawyers to investigate and rebut the complaints. With the volume of complaints (dozens IIRC) and no financial relief coming, she felt she had to bail to prevent bankrupting her family. Subsequently the AK legislature passed a law that would prevent a repeat of what happened to her financially.
No kidding. If it were not for Palin he would not have had the votes he had. Funny how history is constantly being rewritten by the Fools.
Rush starting to talk about this now. I'm sure Sarah recognizes that Trump is the only one who can energize the electorate enough to win a race that must be won against the socialist progressives and their destructive values.
I remember in 2012 merely expressing skepticism that Palin would or could run an effective national race. I actually had inside info based on my knowledge of the person producing her film and her ghostwriter and what they were seeing in the polling data. I was pilloried.
I knew Palin's power in 08, but didn't necessarily think that could translate into a full-blown persidential run because of her lack of a good organization (which she didn't have at the time).
But now, if it's not Cruz around here, it's an all out blitzkreig (which tells me Cruz is slipping further and further out of real contention).
So true. I became a deputy voter registrar and signed up coworkers and knocked on doors because of her.
Totally coincidental timing of this article coming 7 years after the 2008 election. Totally coincidental, I’m sure.
Rush just nailed it, saying just what I posted. They (GOPe) do not understand the mood of the electorate that are so determined to save this country that they will submerge parts of the conservative agenda to defeat the liberal, socialistic, progressive agenda.
LOL. Nice and funny summary. Are you in Detroit?
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