Ok Freepers, want to put an idea out there
According to polling a plurality of Iowa voters are either undecided or soft in their support for any candidate.
Religious voters play a significant role in Iowa politics.
Religious voters have demonstrated in the past a distaste for candidate who engage in the bare knuckle politics Cruz/Trump have recently engaged in.
Historically polling in Iowa has been rather in accurate. Iowa almost always produces a surprise result.
Rubio has gone full out of for the religious votes. He is also working very hard to peal away some of Carson’s support. His ads spend a lot of time with him talking about his religious faith. His stump speechs spend a lot of time on his faith and “not voting for who you like but vote for who can win”
Team Cruz switched from targeting Trump to going after Rubio today.
So question:
What happens to the campaign if Rubio wins, or finishes a strong 2nd in Iowa?
He gets the focus that was on Cruz, and the race becomes Trump v. Rubio. Trump has a new target, and we get to have the birther debate all over again, with a different fact pattern.
At some point, Cruz will throw in with Rubio. Cruz is toast. Rubio isn't toast, not quite yet. Neither is Turtle-man Bush.