I suspect the turnout will be very high. Based on polling history I expect Trump to win. Also team Cruz made a key misstep that that is going to color the race Monday with that stupid mailer. If the turnout is not big it will hurt Trump going forward. If however the results show his support to be not only real but understated it will totally change the dynamic of the race and I expect him to be unstoppable. People like winners and if the Trump phenomenon proves to be real beyond a doubt I think a lot more people will see the value of it as a Trumpnami sweeping away the conventional wisdom and political correctness and Washington DC status quo.
http://linkis.com/washingtonpost.com/jgc6p
Your Trumpnami is going to be frustrated by his 60% disapproval rating. You need to face the fact that Trump is perceived as a ill-mannered, uninformed, child by the majority of the voters, even though a sizeable number of people apparently like his style.
We’ll see a third party candidate emerge if Trump, by some miracle, manages to win the nomination. There are just too many people who would refuse to vote for a boor like Trump for president.
However, if his unfavorables hold, and they will because Trump isn’t about to change his crude behavior, the winnowing of the GOP field, even to three, rather than two, will demonstrate the cap on Trump’s votes. Even in the Des Moines poll he’s sitting at only 27%. Adding just Cruz’s and Rubio’s and ignoring Carson and the rest, you get 38%. Sure, a few will go to Trump if one of those two drop out, but most will go to the other one, as will nearly all of Carson’s and the rest of the splintered group.