I mean, Huckabee and Santorum won Iowa, and they got 11% and 9% in New Hampshire respectively after their Iowa wins. That is where Cruz is headed.
Both Huckabee and Santorum put all their money and marbles into Iowa - when they won, they didn't have the money or the manpower to build on it. Cruz has the most hard money of any of the candidates, the second most soft money in the super-PACS supporting him, and he has had the best ground game of any of the campaigns in all of the states up to March 15th. He has been building the grassroots campaign for almost a year. We will see if it pays off, but to compare Huckabee and Santorum to Cruz is to ignore the major differences.
Why would you think Iowa’s results would make anyone anywhere else change their mind?
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For the same reason that, say, Sarah Palin’s endorsement of Trump was supposed to be yuge.
It makes no sense to me that someone would vote for someone just because a celebrity endorses a candidate.
Like you, it makes no sense to me that someone would look to another state’s results for guidance, but if one does it for celebrities, why not for the way regular people in another state vote.
Just a thought.