I also don't at all see MN, MI, PA, LA, GA or ME as "competitive." Likewise, no way, NO WAY, does NH lean Republican. Don't know about AZ and TX, but people from those states will have to say what they think. I had thought GA and AZ were consistently rated as the two most conservative states in the country, though.
Either way, look at the map and realize that the GOP needs all three swing states (VA, OH, FL), plus at least one state that hasn't gone for the GOP since 2004 or earlier. If we can't take the White House this time around, I would consider it a strong indication that the GOP has become a regional party only.
You mean you think the poll by Gallup is flawed? Please tell me it just isn’t so! /s