If they are basing their calculations on evangelicals alone, they would be right. But Cruz has also been courting the libertarian vote, which is significant in NH. Ron Paul got 23% in NH in 2012. And with Rand Paul out, there are no other candidates appealing to that group.
Starting to see Trump slip a little, I see. It will be interesting to see tomorrow with the effect of yesterday’s “Trumpertantrum” in the mix.
Hmmm, interesting analysis. I had not thought about the Libertarian vote.
So besides those Paul Libertarians, there could be a strong anti-Tang vote that we're failing to take into account!
Bingo, the narrative about Cruz only being about religion may look good to the media but he has a very strong libertarian following based on things like his 10th amendment stance, taxes etc.