I’ve listened to Deace radio show frequently over the last year. He’s smarter than ANYONE I’ve ever heard about elections and the modern, younger conservative movement. Better than Rush, Levin, Hannity, etc.
Here’s the actual Iowa results and then his Iowa prediction. The only ones he was somewhat far off on where Rubio, about 4 higher than he predicted, and Rand, about 3.5 lower. No wonder Rand dropped out.
Actual:
180,000+ turnout
Ted Cruz (27.7%)
Donald Trump (24.3%)
Marco Rubio (23.1%)
Ben Carson (9.3%)
Rand Paul (4.5%)
Jeb Bush (2.8%)
Carly Fiorina (1.9%)
others (7.3%)
Steve Deace’s Prediction:
Turnout: 145,000 (roughly 20% turnout increase—I’ll split the difference with what I see and what the polls say)
Ted Cruz – 28%
Donald Trump – 23%
Marco Rubio – 19%
Rand Paul – 8%
Ben Carson – 7%
(tie) Jeb Bush – 4%
Chris Christie – 4%
Mike Huckabee – 3%
Carly Fiorina – 2%
(tie) John Kasich – 1%
Rick Santorum – 1%
No pollster gets it right every time, too many variables. We’ll see, this guy might be the real oracle, who knows.
The undecided may go Trump, the not so smart will go Kasich.
And Sanders will stomp Shrillary.