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To: SmokingJoe
Again Iowa and South Carolina have vastly more conservatives and evangelicals than New Hampshire

You seem to not be understanding the problem: Trump didn't lose the conservative or evangelical vote in New Hampshire. He dominated that demo very easily. 70 percent of New Hampshire's primary voters were conservative, with 25 percent being "very," and the rest just conservative or slightly so. So it doesn't really matter how many conservatives or evangelicals you have. If we limited the race in New Hampshire to just those voters, Cruz's numbers only improve by 3 points. If we limit voters to just "very conservative" voters, Cruz's numbers improve to 23 percent, but Trump still wins with a 12 point lead.

Again Ted Cruz has a better ground game in South Carolina than anyone else.

Cruz was boasting up his ground game in New Hampshire, but still lost. Immediately after Iowa, he boasted that Trump's supporters didn't really exist and that he would win New Hampshire. He didn't. And as for South Carolina, Trump's ground game in SC is even bigger than Iowa or NH. It's also a primary, not a caucus, so ground games aren't even as important to begin with.

183 posted on 02/10/2016 5:08:56 AM PST by Greetings_Puny_Humans (I mostly come out at night... mostly.)
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To: Greetings_Puny_Humans

You seem to not be understanding the problem: Trump didn’t lose the conservative or evangelical vote in New Hampshire. He dominated that demo very easily

Sigh.
Again Cruz crushed Trump amongst evangelicals and conservatives in Iowa. South Carolina is just like Iowa. New Hampshire is the most Godless state in the country.


184 posted on 02/10/2016 5:14:13 AM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: Greetings_Puny_Humans
Cruz was boasting up his ground game in New Hampshire

When did he say that?
Cruz hardly spent any money in Iowa. Ted Cruz spent just $580K in New Hampshire vs a massive $32M for Jeb Bush. Cruz hardly made any effort in New Hampshire.

187 posted on 02/10/2016 5:19:00 AM PST by SmokingJoe
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